Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 47% implied probability for a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles today, aligns closely with the National Weather Service's latest forecast guidance for downtown Los Angeles or LAX, projecting peak temperatures in the low 70s amid persistent marine layer stratus and patchy morning fog delaying diurnal heating. After an extraordinary March heat wave—featuring seven 90°F+ days and records set as recently as March 23—onshore flow has strengthened, ushering cooler air and increased low clouds that cap daytime highs near climatological norms of 68-70°F. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles from recent 12Z runs reinforce this outlook, showing marginal warming potential if fog clears early by midday, though light winds limit mixing. Hourly observations from official NOAA stations will refine resolution by midnight, with uncertainty centered on burn-off timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 21.6%
72-73°F 15%
74-75°F 10%
$59,624 Объем
$59,624 Объем
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 21.6%
72-73°F 15%
74-75°F 10%
$59,624 Объем
$59,624 Объем
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 47% implied probability for a 70-71°F high in Los Angeles today, aligns closely with the National Weather Service's latest forecast guidance for downtown Los Angeles or LAX, projecting peak temperatures in the low 70s amid persistent marine layer stratus and patchy morning fog delaying diurnal heating. After an extraordinary March heat wave—featuring seven 90°F+ days and records set as recently as March 23—onshore flow has strengthened, ushering cooler air and increased low clouds that cap daytime highs near climatological norms of 68-70°F. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles from recent 12Z runs reinforce this outlook, showing marginal warming potential if fog clears early by midday, though light winds limit mixing. Hourly observations from official NOAA stations will refine resolution by midnight, with uncertainty centered on burn-off timing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы