Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster of outcomes around 80-83°F for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a sharp rebound from Friday's cold front that brought highs only to the mid-50s to mid-60s on March 28. Southerly winds ushering in warmer air masses under a building upper-level ridge drive the warmth, with forecast models like GFS and ECMWF showing ensemble spreads of 2-4°F due to uncertainties in residual low-level moisture, potential afternoon cloud development, and boundary layer mixing during peak insolation. This differentiates the leading 82-83°F (33%) from 80-81°F (24%), as slight variations in sky cover or wind shear could cap or boost peak heating. Updated 00Z model runs and NWS afternoon advisories tonight will sharpen the outlook, consistent with NOAA's spring projection of above-normal temperatures amid ongoing drought conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 29 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Далласе 29 марта?
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 15%
$35,214 Объем
$35,214 Объем
73°F или ниже
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F или выше
<1%
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 15%
$35,214 Объем
$35,214 Объем
73°F или ниже
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster of outcomes around 80-83°F for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a sharp rebound from Friday's cold front that brought highs only to the mid-50s to mid-60s on March 28. Southerly winds ushering in warmer air masses under a building upper-level ridge drive the warmth, with forecast models like GFS and ECMWF showing ensemble spreads of 2-4°F due to uncertainties in residual low-level moisture, potential afternoon cloud development, and boundary layer mixing during peak insolation. This differentiates the leading 82-83°F (33%) from 80-81°F (24%), as slight variations in sky cover or wind shear could cap or boost peak heating. Updated 00Z model runs and NWS afternoon advisories tonight will sharpen the outlook, consistent with NOAA's spring projection of above-normal temperatures amid ongoing drought conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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