National Weather Service forecasts and major models like the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a high temperature of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering clear skies, southwesterly winds, and warm air advection from the south, with latest 12Z model runs showing remarkable agreement within 1°F. Late March climatology in Dallas averages 70-72°F highs, making this an above-normal event amid broader southern warmth patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a wind shift, potentially trimming 2-3°F, though high-resolution HRRR updates through evening reinforce the outlook ahead of observational resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 26 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Далласе 26 марта?
84–85°F 100.0%
79°F или ниже <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$182,453 Объем
$182,453 Объем
79°F или ниже
Нет
80-81°F
Нет
82-83°F
Нет
84–85°F
Да
86-87°F
Нет
88-89°F
Нет
90-91°F
Нет
92–93°F
Нет
94-95°F
Нет
96-97°F
Нет
98°F или выше
Нет
84–85°F 100.0%
79°F или ниже <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$182,453 Объем
$182,453 Объем
79°F или ниже
Нет
80-81°F
Нет
82-83°F
Нет
84–85°F
Да
86-87°F
Нет
88-89°F
Нет
90-91°F
Нет
92–93°F
Нет
94-95°F
Нет
96-97°F
Нет
98°F или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
National Weather Service forecasts and major models like the GFS and ECMWF have converged on a high temperature of 84-85°F in Dallas on March 26, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering clear skies, southwesterly winds, and warm air advection from the south, with latest 12Z model runs showing remarkable agreement within 1°F. Late March climatology in Dallas averages 70-72°F highs, making this an above-normal event amid broader southern warmth patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level clouds or a wind shift, potentially trimming 2-3°F, though high-resolution HRRR updates through evening reinforce the outlook ahead of observational resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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