Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Dallas high temperature of 86-87°F on March 19, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinning the peak at 86°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge amplifying heat over North Texas. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement, with 12-km HRRR runs reinforcing this through dewpoint depressions supporting daytime heating to those levels. Historical March data for Dallas-Fort Worth averages 67°F highs, making this an outlier but consistent with early-spring warm surges. Realistic challenges include an unexpected dryline bulge or nocturnal cold front surge, though low-probability per current 500-mb charts, potentially nudging temps toward 88°F or higher if heating accelerates unchecked.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 19 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Далласе 19 марта?
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F или ниже <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$100,913 Объем
$100,913 Объем
73°F или ниже
Нет
74-75°F
Нет
76-77°F
Нет
78-79°F
Нет
80-81°F
Нет
82-83°F
Нет
84-85°F
Нет
86-87°F
Да
88-89°F
Нет
90–91°F
Нет
92°F или выше
Нет
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F или ниже <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$100,913 Объем
$100,913 Объем
73°F или ниже
Нет
74-75°F
Нет
76-77°F
Нет
78-79°F
Нет
80-81°F
Нет
82-83°F
Нет
84-85°F
Нет
86-87°F
Да
88-89°F
Нет
90–91°F
Нет
92°F или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 15, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Dallas high temperature of 86-87°F on March 19, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinning the peak at 86°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge amplifying heat over North Texas. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement, with 12-km HRRR runs reinforcing this through dewpoint depressions supporting daytime heating to those levels. Historical March data for Dallas-Fort Worth averages 67°F highs, making this an outlier but consistent with early-spring warm surges. Realistic challenges include an unexpected dryline bulge or nocturnal cold front surge, though low-probability per current 500-mb charts, potentially nudging temps toward 88°F or higher if heating accelerates unchecked.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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