National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market resolution source, project a daytime high near 41°F on April 1 amid overcast skies, north-northeast winds of 10-20 mph, and scattered showers following a cold frontal passage that ended a warm late-March spell capped by an 87°F record-tying high on March 30. This influx of cooler Canadian air suppresses temperatures well below the 53°F climatological normal, with ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converging on 40-45°F peaks due to persistent low-level cloud decks limiting solar heating. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with meaningful uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud breaks or wind shifts; monitor hourly observations as the market nears resolution by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
42-43°F 43%
40-41°F 32.6%
44-45°F 18%
46-47°F 5%
$94,221 Объем
$94,221 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
33°F or below
<1%
34-35°F
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
33%
42-43°F
43%
44-45°F
18%
46-47°F
5%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
1%
52°F or higher
1%
42-43°F 43%
40-41°F 32.6%
44-45°F 18%
46-47°F 5%
$94,221 Объем
$94,221 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
33°F or below
$6,391 Объем
<1%
34-35°F
$9,314 Объем
<1%
36-37°F
$12,408 Объем
<1%
38-39°F
$15,384 Объем
<1%
40-41°F
$7,290 Объем
33%
42-43°F
$5,374 Объем
43%
44-45°F
$5,292 Объем
18%
46-47°F
$5,173 Объем
5%
48-49°F
$5,039 Объем
2%
50-51°F
$5,563 Объем
1%
52°F or higher
$17,017 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market resolution source, project a daytime high near 41°F on April 1 amid overcast skies, north-northeast winds of 10-20 mph, and scattered showers following a cold frontal passage that ended a warm late-March spell capped by an 87°F record-tying high on March 30. This influx of cooler Canadian air suppresses temperatures well below the 53°F climatological normal, with ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converging on 40-45°F peaks due to persistent low-level cloud decks limiting solar heating. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with meaningful uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud breaks or wind shifts; monitor hourly observations as the market nears resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Объем
$94,221Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market resolution source, project a daytime high near 41°F on April 1 amid overcast skies, north-northeast winds of 10-20 mph, and scattered showers following a cold frontal passage that ended a warm late-March spell capped by an 87°F record-tying high on March 30. This influx of cooler Canadian air suppresses temperatures well below the 53°F climatological normal, with ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converging on 40-45°F peaks due to persistent low-level cloud decks limiting solar heating. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with meaningful uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud breaks or wind shifts; monitor hourly observations as the market nears resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$94,221Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market resolution source, project a daytime high near 41°F on April 1 amid overcast skies, north-northeast winds of 10-20 mph, and scattered showers following a cold frontal passage that ended a warm late-March spell capped by an 87°F record-tying high on March 30. This influx of cooler Canadian air suppresses temperatures well below the 53°F climatological normal, with ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models converging on 40-45°F peaks due to persistent low-level cloud decks limiting solar heating. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with meaningful uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud breaks or wind shifts; monitor hourly observations as the market nears resolution by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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