Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS position Beijing's highest temperature on March 26 at 25°C with 47.5% implied probability, reflecting consensus on peak afternoon heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly airflow. Recent observations show the city logging above-normal March highs—23°C on March 24 and similar on the 25th—due to clear skies, low humidity, and solar insolation driving daytime anomalies of +8–10°C over the 14°C climatological average. No cold fronts or precipitation are projected, though model ensembles indicate slight spread, with 26°C viable if winds strengthen. Traders await real-time data from official stations like Beijing Capital International Airport, where hourly readings will resolve the market amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 26?
25°C 48%
26°C 29%
24°C 18%
27°C 6.6%
$37,351 Объем
$37,351 Объем
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
18%
25°C
48%
26°C
29%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 48%
26°C 29%
24°C 18%
27°C 6.6%
$37,351 Объем
$37,351 Объем
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
18%
25°C
48%
26°C
29%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS position Beijing's highest temperature on March 26 at 25°C with 47.5% implied probability, reflecting consensus on peak afternoon heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly airflow. Recent observations show the city logging above-normal March highs—23°C on March 24 and similar on the 25th—due to clear skies, low humidity, and solar insolation driving daytime anomalies of +8–10°C over the 14°C climatological average. No cold fronts or precipitation are projected, though model ensembles indicate slight spread, with 26°C viable if winds strengthen. Traders await real-time data from official stations like Beijing Capital International Airport, where hourly readings will resolve the market amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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