The Turkish State Meteorological Service's latest 5-day forecast, released within the past 24 hours, projects a maximum temperature of 16°C for Ankara on April 1 at Esenboğa International Airport station—the official resolution source—driving trader consensus with 16°C leading at 41% implied probability, ahead of 15°C (27%) and 17°C or higher (22.5%). This aligns with early April climatology in Ankara's continental climate, where daily highs average 14–17°C amid spring warming, following March's typical 12–15°C peaks under partly cloudy skies. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show similar mild conditions with low precipitation risk, though cloud cover or southerly winds could shift peaks by 1–2°C; intraday airport observations will clarify as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
16°C 44%
15°C 28%
17°C or higher 18%
14°C 1.8%
$159,370 Объем
$159,370 Объем
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
28%
16°C
44%
17°C or higher
18%
16°C 44%
15°C 28%
17°C or higher 18%
14°C 1.8%
$159,370 Объем
$159,370 Объем
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
28%
16°C
44%
17°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Turkish State Meteorological Service's latest 5-day forecast, released within the past 24 hours, projects a maximum temperature of 16°C for Ankara on April 1 at Esenboğa International Airport station—the official resolution source—driving trader consensus with 16°C leading at 41% implied probability, ahead of 15°C (27%) and 17°C or higher (22.5%). This aligns with early April climatology in Ankara's continental climate, where daily highs average 14–17°C amid spring warming, following March's typical 12–15°C peaks under partly cloudy skies. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show similar mild conditions with low precipitation risk, though cloud cover or southerly winds could shift peaks by 1–2°C; intraday airport observations will clarify as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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