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Referendos Intercalares previsões e probabilidades

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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

54%

Republican Party

$2M Vol.

$312K Liq.

53

Ends em 6 meses

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

80%

Democratic Party

$6M Vol.

$548K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

50%

$424K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

76%

Civilian Service Act

$104K Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

Ends em 28 dias

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

21%

December 31

$433K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

7

Ends em 8 meses

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

19%

$14.7K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

21%

$530 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

38%

$8.1K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

91%

$167K Vol.

$41.4K Liq.

19

Ends em 8 meses

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

Below 190

$235K Vol.

$159K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

27%

130m+

$7.3K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

6%

$45.9K Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

21

Ends em 6 meses

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

87%

$362 Vol.

$886 Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

4%

$83.9K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

9

Ends em 6 meses

OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$4.1K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

OR-05 House Election Winner

OR-05 House Election Winner

90%

Democratic Party

$503 Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$16.6K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

34%

22–23

$667K Vol.

$53.3K Liq.

4

Ends em 6 meses

IL-14 House Election Winner

IL-14 House Election Winner

91%

Democratic Party

$8.8K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

MD-02 House Election Winner

MD-02 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$9.8K Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Referendos Intercalares that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 80% chance to Democratic Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Referendos Intercalares predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.