Maryland’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski, who won the seat in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with substantial name recognition in the Baltimore County suburbs. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s baseline partisan balance underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A national political shift of unusual magnitude or an unforeseen personal or legal development involving the Democratic candidate represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
MD-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$10,647 Vol.
$10,647 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$10,647 Vol.
$10,647 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$8,466 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$2,181 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski, who won the seat in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with substantial name recognition in the Baltimore County suburbs. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s baseline partisan balance underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A national political shift of unusual magnitude or an unforeseen personal or legal development involving the Democratic candidate represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$10,647Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski, who won the seat in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with substantial name recognition in the Baltimore County suburbs. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s baseline partisan balance underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A national political shift of unusual magnitude or an unforeseen personal or legal development involving the Democratic candidate represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,647Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski, who won the seat in 2024, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with substantial name recognition in the Baltimore County suburbs. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the district’s baseline partisan balance underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A national political shift of unusual magnitude or an unforeseen personal or legal development involving the Democratic candidate represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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