Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, where she captured over 40% backed by significant outside spending, has entrenched the party's commanding position in this open seat race against retiring Rep. Robin Kelly. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+18 partisan voting index, the district encompassing Chicago's South Side and south suburbs has delivered consistent large Democratic margins, reflected in traders' 93.5% consensus on a party hold in the November 3 general election versus truck driver Mike Noack. Realistic challenges include a major Miller scandal, unprecedented Republican turnout in a midterm wave, or abrupt candidate changes, though structural barriers remain high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoIL-02 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
IL-02 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$11,377 Vol.
$11,377 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$11,377 Vol.
$11,377 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$3,989 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$7,388 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, where she captured over 40% backed by significant outside spending, has entrenched the party's commanding position in this open seat race against retiring Rep. Robin Kelly. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+18 partisan voting index, the district encompassing Chicago's South Side and south suburbs has delivered consistent large Democratic margins, reflected in traders' 93.5% consensus on a party hold in the November 3 general election versus truck driver Mike Noack. Realistic challenges include a major Miller scandal, unprecedented Republican turnout in a midterm wave, or abrupt candidate changes, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$11,377Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, where she captured over 40% backed by significant outside spending, has entrenched the party's commanding position in this open seat race against retiring Rep. Robin Kelly. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+18 partisan voting index, the district encompassing Chicago's South Side and south suburbs has delivered consistent large Democratic margins, reflected in traders' 93.5% consensus on a party hold in the November 3 general election versus truck driver Mike Noack. Realistic challenges include a major Miller scandal, unprecedented Republican turnout in a midterm wave, or abrupt candidate changes, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,377Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's decisive victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, where she captured over 40% backed by significant outside spending, has entrenched the party's commanding position in this open seat race against retiring Rep. Robin Kelly. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+18 partisan voting index, the district encompassing Chicago's South Side and south suburbs has delivered consistent large Democratic margins, reflected in traders' 93.5% consensus on a party hold in the November 3 general election versus truck driver Mike Noack. Realistic challenges include a major Miller scandal, unprecedented Republican turnout in a midterm wave, or abrupt candidate changes, though structural barriers remain high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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