The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic partisan voting index and consistent history of large margins in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly opted to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, creating an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary; Cook County commissioner Donna Miller emerged as nominee after the March 17, 2026, contest. Independent and Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, Mike Noack, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have routinely exceeded 65 percent of the general-election vote. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain limited to an unforeseen national political shift or candidate-specific controversy capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched partisan alignment ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-02 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
IL-02 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$30,932 Vol.
$30,932 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
5%
$30,932 Vol.
$30,932 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$12,427 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$18,505 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic partisan voting index and consistent history of large margins in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly opted to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, creating an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary; Cook County commissioner Donna Miller emerged as nominee after the March 17, 2026, contest. Independent and Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, Mike Noack, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have routinely exceeded 65 percent of the general-election vote. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain limited to an unforeseen national political shift or candidate-specific controversy capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched partisan alignment ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$30,932Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic partisan voting index and consistent history of large margins in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly opted to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, creating an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary; Cook County commissioner Donna Miller emerged as nominee after the March 17, 2026, contest. Independent and Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, Mike Noack, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have routinely exceeded 65 percent of the general-election vote. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain limited to an unforeseen national political shift or candidate-specific controversy capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched partisan alignment ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,932Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic partisan voting index and consistent history of large margins in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly opted to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, creating an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary; Cook County commissioner Donna Miller emerged as nominee after the March 17, 2026, contest. Independent and Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, Mike Noack, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have routinely exceeded 65 percent of the general-election vote. Late developments capable of altering the outcome remain limited to an unforeseen national political shift or candidate-specific controversy capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched partisan alignment ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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