Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote in Illinois’s 6th Congressional District, a suburban Chicago area rated solidly Democratic by forecasters. His general-election matchup against Republican nominee Niki Conforti, who won her primary by a similar margin, occurs on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent partisan tilt, Casten’s incumbency record since 2019, and historical results in similar contests underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Factors that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout, major national political shifts, or unexpected developments affecting either candidate before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-06 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
IL-06 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$27,257 Vol.
$27,257 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
92%
Partido Republicano
7%
$27,257 Vol.
$27,257 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$10,032 Vol.
92%
Partido Republicano
$17,225 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote in Illinois’s 6th Congressional District, a suburban Chicago area rated solidly Democratic by forecasters. His general-election matchup against Republican nominee Niki Conforti, who won her primary by a similar margin, occurs on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent partisan tilt, Casten’s incumbency record since 2019, and historical results in similar contests underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Factors that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout, major national political shifts, or unexpected developments affecting either candidate before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$27,257Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote in Illinois’s 6th Congressional District, a suburban Chicago area rated solidly Democratic by forecasters. His general-election matchup against Republican nominee Niki Conforti, who won her primary by a similar margin, occurs on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent partisan tilt, Casten’s incumbency record since 2019, and historical results in similar contests underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Factors that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout, major national political shifts, or unexpected developments affecting either candidate before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,257Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote in Illinois’s 6th Congressional District, a suburban Chicago area rated solidly Democratic by forecasters. His general-election matchup against Republican nominee Niki Conforti, who won her primary by a similar margin, occurs on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent partisan tilt, Casten’s incumbency record since 2019, and historical results in similar contests underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Factors that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout, major national political shifts, or unexpected developments affecting either candidate before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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