Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 4th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and delivered her roughly 67 percent of the vote in 2024. She secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor endorsement at the May 2026 district convention, faces only token primary opposition, and benefits from established fundraising and organizational support ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Republican primary candidates have not generated comparable momentum or resources, consistent with the district’s urban and suburban profile centered on St. Paul. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and historical voting patterns. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican environment or an unforeseen development in the Democratic primary that weakens McCollum before the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara MN-04
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara MN-04
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$3,370 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$4,742 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 4th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and delivered her roughly 67 percent of the vote in 2024. She secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor endorsement at the May 2026 district convention, faces only token primary opposition, and benefits from established fundraising and organizational support ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Republican primary candidates have not generated comparable momentum or resources, consistent with the district’s urban and suburban profile centered on St. Paul. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and historical voting patterns. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican environment or an unforeseen development in the Democratic primary that weakens McCollum before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$8,112Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 4th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and delivered her roughly 67 percent of the vote in 2024. She secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor endorsement at the May 2026 district convention, faces only token primary opposition, and benefits from established fundraising and organizational support ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Republican primary candidates have not generated comparable momentum or resources, consistent with the district’s urban and suburban profile centered on St. Paul. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and historical voting patterns. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican environment or an unforeseen development in the Democratic primary that weakens McCollum before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,112Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 4th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and delivered her roughly 67 percent of the vote in 2024. She secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor endorsement at the May 2026 district convention, faces only token primary opposition, and benefits from established fundraising and organizational support ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Republican primary candidates have not generated comparable momentum or resources, consistent with the district’s urban and suburban profile centered on St. Paul. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and historical voting patterns. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican environment or an unforeseen development in the Democratic primary that weakens McCollum before the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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