Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in its Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent margins in recent elections. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January retirement announcement opened the seat, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23 that features candidates such as Harry Dunn and Rushern Baker alongside several others. Republican primary contenders face the same structural headwinds in a district encompassing southern Maryland counties and Washington suburbs. These factors have produced trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee in the November general election. Scenarios that could still alter positioning include an unexpected primary outcome yielding a notably weaker standard-bearer or a major late-cycle national political shift before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-05 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
MD-05 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$15,921 Vol.
$15,921 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$15,921 Vol.
$15,921 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$8,513 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$7,408 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in its Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent margins in recent elections. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January retirement announcement opened the seat, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23 that features candidates such as Harry Dunn and Rushern Baker alongside several others. Republican primary contenders face the same structural headwinds in a district encompassing southern Maryland counties and Washington suburbs. These factors have produced trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee in the November general election. Scenarios that could still alter positioning include an unexpected primary outcome yielding a notably weaker standard-bearer or a major late-cycle national political shift before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$15,921Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in its Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent margins in recent elections. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January retirement announcement opened the seat, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23 that features candidates such as Harry Dunn and Rushern Baker alongside several others. Republican primary contenders face the same structural headwinds in a district encompassing southern Maryland counties and Washington suburbs. These factors have produced trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee in the November general election. Scenarios that could still alter positioning include an unexpected primary outcome yielding a notably weaker standard-bearer or a major late-cycle national political shift before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,921Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in its Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and consistent margins in recent elections. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January retirement announcement opened the seat, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23 that features candidates such as Harry Dunn and Rushern Baker alongside several others. Republican primary contenders face the same structural headwinds in a district encompassing southern Maryland counties and Washington suburbs. These factors have produced trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee in the November general election. Scenarios that could still alter positioning include an unexpected primary outcome yielding a notably weaker standard-bearer or a major late-cycle national political shift before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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