Recent rating shifts by Sabato's Crystal Ball on March 19 toward Democrats—including Arizona incumbent Katie Hobbs moving from toss-up to leans Democratic based on her polling lead over Andy Biggs, Georgia's open seat from leans Republican to toss-up amid fluid primaries featuring Burt Jones and self-funder Rick Jackson, and Ohio's open race from likely Republican to leans Republican due to tighter polls against Vivek Ramaswamy—have heightened uncertainty in battlegrounds, driving trader consensus toward 22–23 (35%) or 24–25 (32.5%) Republican governors post-election. With Republicans defending 18 seats including eight opens against 18 Democratic-held seats, historical midterm penalties for President Trump's party offset the GOP map edge, while toss-ups in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada could tip totals; upcoming primaries through summer may solidify nominees and separate outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado22–23 38%
24–25 34%
<22 19%
26–27 9%
$595,198 Vol.
$595,198 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
19%
22–23
38%
24–25
34%
26–27
9%
28–29
6%
30–31
2%
32+
5%
22–23 38%
24–25 34%
<22 19%
26–27 9%
$595,198 Vol.
$595,198 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
$0 Vol.
19%
22–23
$3,053 Vol.
38%
24–25
$27,763 Vol.
34%
26–27
$0 Vol.
9%
28–29
$549,407 Vol.
6%
30–31
$3,938 Vol.
2%
32+
$11,038 Vol.
5%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Recent rating shifts by Sabato's Crystal Ball on March 19 toward Democrats—including Arizona incumbent Katie Hobbs moving from toss-up to leans Democratic based on her polling lead over Andy Biggs, Georgia's open seat from leans Republican to toss-up amid fluid primaries featuring Burt Jones and self-funder Rick Jackson, and Ohio's open race from likely Republican to leans Republican due to tighter polls against Vivek Ramaswamy—have heightened uncertainty in battlegrounds, driving trader consensus toward 22–23 (35%) or 24–25 (32.5%) Republican governors post-election. With Republicans defending 18 seats including eight opens against 18 Democratic-held seats, historical midterm penalties for President Trump's party offset the GOP map edge, while toss-ups in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada could tip totals; upcoming primaries through summer may solidify nominees and separate outcomes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$595,198Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Recent rating shifts by Sabato's Crystal Ball on March 19 toward Democrats—including Arizona incumbent Katie Hobbs moving from toss-up to leans Democratic based on her polling lead over Andy Biggs, Georgia's open seat from leans Republican to toss-up amid fluid primaries featuring Burt Jones and self-funder Rick Jackson, and Ohio's open race from likely Republican to leans Republican due to tighter polls against Vivek Ramaswamy—have heightened uncertainty in battlegrounds, driving trader consensus toward 22–23 (35%) or 24–25 (32.5%) Republican governors post-election. With Republicans defending 18 seats including eight opens against 18 Democratic-held seats, historical midterm penalties for President Trump's party offset the GOP map edge, while toss-ups in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada could tip totals; upcoming primaries through summer may solidify nominees and separate outcomes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$595,198Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent rating shifts by Sabato's Crystal Ball on March 19 toward Democrats—including Arizona incumbent Katie Hobbs moving from toss-up to leans Democratic based on her polling lead over Andy Biggs, Georgia's open seat from leans Republican to toss-up amid fluid primaries featuring Burt Jones and self-funder Rick Jackson, and Ohio's open race from likely Republican to leans Republican due to tighter polls against Vivek Ramaswamy—have heightened uncertainty in battlegrounds, driving trader consensus toward 22–23 (35%) or 24–25 (32.5%) Republican governors post-election. With Republicans defending 18 seats including eight opens against 18 Democratic-held seats, historical midterm penalties for President Trump's party offset the GOP map edge, while toss-ups in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada could tip totals; upcoming primaries through summer may solidify nominees and separate outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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