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Gavin Newsom previsões e probabilidades

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Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

20%

December 31, 2026

$82.7K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

11

Ends em 7 meses

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

18%

JD Vance

$606M Vol.

$3M today

$33M Liq.

946

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$60M Liq.

745

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

24%

Kamala Harris

$677K Vol.

$803K Liq.

17

Ends em 7 meses

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

57%

Petro - Colombia President

$471K Vol.

$310K Liq.

7

Ends em 7 meses

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

46%

John Brennan

$109K Vol.

$175K Liq.

4

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

32%

George Clooney

$17.7K Vol.

$310K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 anos

California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner

26%

Xavier Becerra

$167 Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

37%

Tony Thurmond

$0 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

43%

Tom Steyer

$240 Vol.

$327 Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

53%

Xavier Becerra

$96.0K Vol.

$310K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner

37%

Matt Mahan

$0 Vol.

$168 Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

37%

Tom Steyer

$0 Vol.

$283 Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

87%

Dem-Rep

$81.2K Vol.

$41.0K Liq.

3

Ends em 5 dias

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

86%

Steve Hilton

$778K Vol.

$397K Liq.

5

Ends em 5 dias

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

67%

Xavier Becerra

$27M Vol.

$927K today

$4M Liq.

67

Ends em 5 meses

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

71%

Karen Bass

$3M Vol.

$158K today

$723K Liq.

36

Ends em 5 dias

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

66%

Fiona Ma

$11.9K Vol.

$43.8K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

83%

Karen Bass

$115K Vol.

$265K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

30%

↑ $3.20

$428K Vol.

$114K Liq.

3

Ends em 4 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gavin Newsom.

Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for Gavin Newsom that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.8B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gavin Newsom predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.