Market icon
Política·Primárias

Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?

$336,605 Vol.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$336,605 Vol.

Polymarket

Steve Hilton

$4,174 Vol.

65%

Eric Swalwell

$10,972 Vol.

62%

Chad Bianco

$0 Vol.

36%

Tom Steyer

$17,340 Vol.

28%

Elaine Culotti

$0 Vol.

18%

Matt Mahan

$10,057 Vol.

15%

Katie Porter

$0 Vol.

16%

Xavier Becerra

$2,973 Vol.

8%

Tony Thurmond

$966 Vol.

6%

Betty Yee

$2,629 Vol.

6%

David Thelen

$750 Vol.

5%

Ché Ahn

$14,680 Vol.

5%

Ethan Agarwal

$2,470 Vol.

5%

Sharifah Hardie

$0 Vol.

4%

Jimmy Parker

$0 Vol.

4%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$11,452 Vol.

4%

Dylan Colbert

$13,295 Vol.

3%

Ryan Tillman

$1,012 Vol.

3%

Daniel Mercuri

$8,309 Vol.

3%

Nicki Minaj

$0 Vol.

3%

Derek Grasty

$1,039 Vol.

3%

Leo Zacky

$0 Vol.

2%

Javen Allen

$0 Vol.

10%

David Serpa

$0 Vol.

2%

Leonard Jackson

$0 Vol.

2%

Raji Rab

$0 Vol.

2%

Carolina Buhler

$0 Vol.

2%

Kyle Langford

$0 Vol.

2%

Nicholas Thompson

$0 Vol.

2%

Butch Ware

$0 Vol.

2%

Thunder Parley

$48,897 Vol.

2%

Zoltan Istvan

$11,334 Vol.

2%

Ramsey Robinson

$0 Vol.

1%

Brandon Jones

$33,473 Vol.

1%

Ian Calderon

$103,033 Vol.

1%

Sophia Brink

$37,751 Vol.

1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's open top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, features a crowded field of 10 major candidates, including eight Democrats and two Republicans, following the March 6 filing deadline and one key dropout endorsing Rep. Eric Swalwell. Recent polls highlight volatility: Emerson (March 7-9) shows Swalwell leading Democrats at 17% amid 25% undecideds, while Berkeley IGS (March 9-14) has Republicans Steve Hilton at 17% and Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco at 16%, raising Democratic fears of vote-splitting that could send both GOP contenders to November. High undecideds and low name recognition persist, with affordability topping voter concerns; party leaders urge consolidation as ballots mail soon.

California's open top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, features a crowded field of 10 major candidates, including eight Democrats and two Republicans, following the March 6 filing deadline and one key dropout endorsing Rep. Eric Swalwell. Recent polls highlight volatility: Emerson (March 7-9) shows Swalwell leading Democrats at 17% amid 25% undecideds, while Berkeley IGS (March 9-14) has Republicans Steve Hilton at 17% and Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco at 16%, raising Democratic fears of vote-splitting that could send both GOP contenders to November. High undecideds and low name recognition persist, with affordability topping voter concerns; party leaders urge consolidation as ballots mail soon.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's open top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, features a crowded field of 10 major candidates, including eight Democrats and two Republicans, following the March 6 filing deadline and one key dropout endorsing Rep. Eric Swalwell. Recent polls highlight volatility: Emerson (March 7-9) shows Swalwell leading Democrats at 17% amid 25% undecideds, while Berkeley IGS (March 9-14) has Republicans Steve Hilton at 17% and Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco at 16%, raising Democratic fears of vote-splitting that could send both GOP contenders to November. High undecideds and low name recognition persist, with affordability topping voter concerns; party leaders urge consolidation as ballots mail soon.

California's open top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, features a crowded field of 10 major candidates, including eight Democrats and two Republicans, following the March 6 filing deadline and one key dropout endorsing Rep. Eric Swalwell. Recent polls highlight volatility: Emerson (March 7-9) shows Swalwell leading Democrats at 17% amid 25% undecideds, while Berkeley IGS (March 9-14) has Republicans Steve Hilton at 17% and Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco at 16%, raising Democratic fears of vote-splitting that could send both GOP contenders to November. High undecideds and low name recognition persist, with affordability topping voter concerns; party leaders urge consolidation as ballots mail soon.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Steve Hilton" at 65%, followed by "Eric Swalwell" at 62%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?" has generated $336.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?" is "Steve Hilton" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eric Swalwell" at 62%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem avançará das primárias do governador da Califórnia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.