The open Texas 21st Congressional District race favors Republicans at 85.5% trader consensus following former MLB star Mark Teixeira's dominant March 3 primary win with 62% of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott, alongside superior fundraising exceeding $3.4 million raised versus Democrat Kristin Hook's $100,000. This Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with an R+11 Partisan Voting Index, aligns historical voting patterns favoring GOP candidates, as seen in prior incumbent Chip Roy's 62% victories before his retirement for attorney general. Hook, the 2024 nominee who garnered 36%, advances after her primary triumph, but faces steep structural barriers absent major shifts like scandals or national midterm waves ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-21
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-21
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Democrata
12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,644 Vol.
86%
Partido Democrata
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Texas 21st Congressional District race favors Republicans at 85.5% trader consensus following former MLB star Mark Teixeira's dominant March 3 primary win with 62% of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott, alongside superior fundraising exceeding $3.4 million raised versus Democrat Kristin Hook's $100,000. This Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with an R+11 Partisan Voting Index, aligns historical voting patterns favoring GOP candidates, as seen in prior incumbent Chip Roy's 62% victories before his retirement for attorney general. Hook, the 2024 nominee who garnered 36%, advances after her primary triumph, but faces steep structural barriers absent major shifts like scandals or national midterm waves ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$7,644Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Texas 21st Congressional District race favors Republicans at 85.5% trader consensus following former MLB star Mark Teixeira's dominant March 3 primary win with 62% of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott, alongside superior fundraising exceeding $3.4 million raised versus Democrat Kristin Hook's $100,000. This Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with an R+11 Partisan Voting Index, aligns historical voting patterns favoring GOP candidates, as seen in prior incumbent Chip Roy's 62% victories before his retirement for attorney general. Hook, the 2024 nominee who garnered 36%, advances after her primary triumph, but faces steep structural barriers absent major shifts like scandals or national midterm waves ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,644Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Texas 21st Congressional District race favors Republicans at 85.5% trader consensus following former MLB star Mark Teixeira's dominant March 3 primary win with 62% of the vote, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott, alongside superior fundraising exceeding $3.4 million raised versus Democrat Kristin Hook's $100,000. This Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with an R+11 Partisan Voting Index, aligns historical voting patterns favoring GOP candidates, as seen in prior incumbent Chip Roy's 62% victories before his retirement for attorney general. Hook, the 2024 nominee who garnered 36%, advances after her primary triumph, but faces steep structural barriers absent major shifts like scandals or national midterm waves ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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