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Política·Bolívia

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)

Market icon
Política·Bolívia

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)

Otto Ritter 46.4%

Juan Pablo Velasco 41.9%

Julio César Tórrez <1%

Juan Carlos Medrano <1%

Polymarket

$494,671 Vol.

Otto Ritter 46.4%

Juan Pablo Velasco 41.9%

Julio César Tórrez <1%

Juan Carlos Medrano <1%

Polymarket

$494,671 Vol.

Otto Ritter

$75,490 Vol.

46%

Juan Pablo Velasco

$286,141 Vol.

44%

Julio César Tórrez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Juan Carlos Medrano

$0 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Quezada

$0 Vol.

<1%

Chi Hyun Chung

$0 Vol.

<1%

Guido Eduardo Nayar

$0 Vol.

<1%

Miguel Cadima

$0 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Peña

$0 Vol.

<1%

Luis Fernando Camacho

$133,040 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Following Santa Cruz's subnational first-round election on March 22, where no candidate secured a majority, Juan Pablo Velasco (Libertad y República) edged Otto Ritter (Primero Santa Cruz) at 29% to 27%, traders now price Ritter as the implied favorite at 46% for the April runoff. This shift stems from Ritter's veteran status as a former councilor and youth leader, his appeals for unity, and speculation on endorsements from third-place incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho's base amid alliance talks—despite Ritter denying formal pacts. Velasco, the younger businessman and ex-vice presidential hopeful, emphasizes health reforms but trails in consensus odds. Voter turnout and consolidation in this opposition stronghold against MAS influence will decide the governor race.

Following Santa Cruz's subnational first-round election on March 22, where no candidate secured a majority, Juan Pablo Velasco (Libertad y República) edged Otto Ritter (Primero Santa Cruz) at 29% to 27%, traders now price Ritter as the implied favorite at 46% for the April runoff. This shift stems from Ritter's veteran status as a former councilor and youth leader, his appeals for unity, and speculation on endorsements from third-place incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho's base amid alliance talks—despite Ritter denying formal pacts. Velasco, the younger businessman and ex-vice presidential hopeful, emphasizes health reforms but trails in consensus odds. Voter turnout and consolidation in this opposition stronghold against MAS influence will decide the governor race.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Following Santa Cruz's subnational first-round election on March 22, where no candidate secured a majority, Juan Pablo Velasco (Libertad y República) edged Otto Ritter (Primero Santa Cruz) at 29% to 27%, traders now price Ritter as the implied favorite at 46% for the April runoff. This shift stems from Ritter's veteran status as a former councilor and youth leader, his appeals for unity, and speculation on endorsements from third-place incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho's base amid alliance talks—despite Ritter denying formal pacts. Velasco, the younger businessman and ex-vice presidential hopeful, emphasizes health reforms but trails in consensus odds. Voter turnout and consolidation in this opposition stronghold against MAS influence will decide the governor race.

Following Santa Cruz's subnational first-round election on March 22, where no candidate secured a majority, Juan Pablo Velasco (Libertad y República) edged Otto Ritter (Primero Santa Cruz) at 29% to 27%, traders now price Ritter as the implied favorite at 46% for the April runoff. This shift stems from Ritter's veteran status as a former councilor and youth leader, his appeals for unity, and speculation on endorsements from third-place incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho's base amid alliance talks—despite Ritter denying formal pacts. Velasco, the younger businessman and ex-vice presidential hopeful, emphasizes health reforms but trails in consensus odds. Voter turnout and consolidation in this opposition stronghold against MAS influence will decide the governor race.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Otto Ritter" at 46%, followed by "Juan Pablo Velasco" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)" has generated $494.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)" is "Otto Ritter" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Juan Pablo Velasco" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.