Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028

Name: Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028
Start: 2025-07-11T19:11:35.945Z
End: 2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z

Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028 — Discussão

Frosen · 2025-07-11T19:11:35.945Z

Discussão sobre Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028. Os traders compartilham insights e previsões no Polymarket.

Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028

JD Vance 17.5%

Gavin Newsom 17.1%

Marco Rubio 10.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.8%

$471,615,356 Vol.

Nov 7, 2028

Ganhe 4%

JD Vance

$9,137,457 Vol.

18%

Gavin Newsom

$6,722,190 Vol.

17%

Marco Rubio

$5,306,114 Vol.

10%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$10,411,158 Vol.

Jon Ossoff

$2,958,219 Vol.

Kamala Harris

$6,492,245 Vol.

Tucker Carlson

$9,343,169 Vol.

Josh Shapiro

$5,315,407 Vol.

Donald Trump

$6,440,265 Vol.

Pete Buttigieg

$3,441,390 Vol.

Andy Beshear

$15,010,622 Vol.

Ron DeSantis

$5,802,456 Vol.

JB Pritzker

$9,485,489 Vol.

James Talarico

$3,753,908 Vol.

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$5,608,719 Vol.

Ivanka Trump

$3,997,705 Vol.

Jamie Dimon

$7,073,241 Vol.

Michelle Obama

$13,221,999 Vol.

Gretchen Whitmer

$7,662,806 Vol.

Greg Abbott

$31,353,625 Vol.

Elon Musk

$21,963,280 Vol.

Wes Moore

$5,559,888 Vol.

Donald Trump Jr.

$8,368,478 Vol.

Nikki Haley

$21,020,220 Vol.

Ro Khanna

$5,640,046 Vol.

Thomas Massie

$3,296,516 Vol.

Tim Walz

$38,410,310 Vol.

Glenn Youngkin

$19,764,943 Vol.

Stephen Smith

$28,161,699 Vol.

Tulsi Gabbard

$27,119,650 Vol.

Vivek Ramaswamy

$28,930,661 Vol.

Zohran Mamdani

$16,286,203 Vol.

Eric Trump

$5,037,830 Vol.

Pete Hegseth

$1,922,895 Vol.

Kim Kardashian

$29,060,068 Vol.

LeBron James

$42,534,864 Vol.

<1%

JD Vance 17.5%

Gavin Newsom 17.1%

Marco Rubio 10.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.8%

$471,615,356 Vol.

Nov 7, 2028

Ganhe 4%

JD Vance

$9,137,457 Vol.

18%

Gavin Newsom

$6,722,190 Vol.

17%

Marco Rubio

$5,306,114 Vol.

10%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$10,411,158 Vol.

Jon Ossoff

$2,958,219 Vol.

Kamala Harris

$6,492,245 Vol.

Tucker Carlson

$9,343,169 Vol.

Josh Shapiro

$5,315,407 Vol.

Donald Trump

$6,440,265 Vol.

Pete Buttigieg

$3,441,390 Vol.

Andy Beshear

$15,010,622 Vol.

Ron DeSantis

$5,802,456 Vol.

JB Pritzker

$9,485,489 Vol.

James Talarico

$3,753,908 Vol.

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$5,608,719 Vol.

Ivanka Trump

$3,997,705 Vol.

Jamie Dimon

$7,073,241 Vol.

Michelle Obama

$13,221,999 Vol.

Gretchen Whitmer

$7,662,806 Vol.

Greg Abbott

$31,353,625 Vol.

Elon Musk

$21,963,280 Vol.

Wes Moore

$5,559,888 Vol.

Donald Trump Jr.

$8,368,478 Vol.

Nikki Haley

$21,020,220 Vol.

Ro Khanna

$5,640,046 Vol.

Thomas Massie

$3,296,516 Vol.

Tim Walz

$38,410,310 Vol.

Glenn Youngkin

$19,764,943 Vol.

Stephen Smith

$28,161,699 Vol.

Tulsi Gabbard

$27,119,650 Vol.

Vivek Ramaswamy

$28,930,661 Vol.

Zohran Mamdani

$16,286,203 Vol.

Eric Trump

$5,037,830 Vol.

Pete Hegseth

$1,922,895 Vol.

Kim Kardashian

$29,060,068 Vol.

LeBron James

$42,534,864 Vol.

<1%

Vice President JD Vance holds a slim lead over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, driven by his incumbency advantage as heir apparent to President Trump amid a fragmented Republican field, tempered by recent declines linked to Secretary of State Marco Rubio's surge—fueled by GOP donor backing at Mar-a-Lago gatherings and a strong second-place CPAC straw poll finish last weekend. Newsom's near-parity stems from commanding leads over Kamala Harris in March California Democratic primary polls, positioning him as the Democrats' early frontrunner post-2024. The tight race reflects pre-primary uncertainty ahead of 2026 midterms, with separation possible via midterm outcomes, Trump endorsements, or early candidate announcements.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 30, 2026, 6:46 AM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 18%, followed by "Gavin Newsom" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" has generated $471.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" is "JD Vance" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $471.6 million traded on “Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 18¢ for "JD Vance" in the "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 18% chance that "JD Vance" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 18¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 82¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Nov 7, 2028 — that's roughly over 3 years away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.

The "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" market has an active community of 796 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028

Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028

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Contexto de Mercado

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (796)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Vencedor da eleição presidencial de 2028" prediction market?

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