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Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-07

Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-07

Claire Valdez 65%

Antonio Reynoso 32%

Tiffany Cabán 1.7%

Jennifer Gútierrez 1.3%

Polymarket

$76,432 Vol.

Claire Valdez 65%

Antonio Reynoso 32%

Tiffany Cabán 1.7%

Jennifer Gútierrez 1.3%

Polymarket

$76,432 Vol.

Claire Valdez

$3,943 Vol.

65%

Antonio Reynoso

$3,866 Vol.

32%

Tiffany Cabán

$5,527 Vol.

2%

Jennifer Gútierrez

$22,989 Vol.

1%

Julie Won

$1,791 Vol.

1%

Sandy Nurse

$6,799 Vol.

1%

Kristen Gonzalez

$23,454 Vol.

<1%

Julia Salazar

$4,760 Vol.

<1%

Lincoln Restler

$3,304 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New York's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, trader consensus favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability, reflecting her strong alignment with the district's progressive voters in Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods like Williamsburg and Bushwick, bolstered by endorsements from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, UAW, Justice Democrats, and the recent March 24 PAL PAC backing for her pro-Palestinian stance. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso trails at 32%, gaining from establishment support including AG Letitia James (March 3) and Rep. Pat Ryan (March 19), plus the Working Families Party despite Mayor Mamdani's opposition. With no public polls, odds hinge on grassroots momentum versus institutional endorsements ahead of the June primary.

In New York's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, trader consensus favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability, reflecting her strong alignment with the district's progressive voters in Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods like Williamsburg and Bushwick, bolstered by endorsements from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, UAW, Justice Democrats, and the recent March 24 PAL PAC backing for her pro-Palestinian stance. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso trails at 32%, gaining from establishment support including AG Letitia James (March 3) and Rep. Pat Ryan (March 19), plus the Working Families Party despite Mayor Mamdani's opposition. With no public polls, odds hinge on grassroots momentum versus institutional endorsements ahead of the June primary.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New York's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, trader consensus favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability, reflecting her strong alignment with the district's progressive voters in Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods like Williamsburg and Bushwick, bolstered by endorsements from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, UAW, Justice Democrats, and the recent March 24 PAL PAC backing for her pro-Palestinian stance. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso trails at 32%, gaining from establishment support including AG Letitia James (March 3) and Rep. Pat Ryan (March 19), plus the Working Families Party despite Mayor Mamdani's opposition. With no public polls, odds hinge on grassroots momentum versus institutional endorsements ahead of the June primary.

In New York's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, trader consensus favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 65% implied probability, reflecting her strong alignment with the district's progressive voters in Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods like Williamsburg and Bushwick, bolstered by endorsements from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, UAW, Justice Democrats, and the recent March 24 PAL PAC backing for her pro-Palestinian stance. Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso trails at 32%, gaining from establishment support including AG Letitia James (March 3) and Rep. Pat Ryan (March 19), plus the Working Families Party despite Mayor Mamdani's opposition. With no public polls, odds hinge on grassroots momentum versus institutional endorsements ahead of the June primary.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-07" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claire Valdez" at 65%, followed by "Antonio Reynoso" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-07" has generated $76.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-07," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-07" is "Claire Valdez" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Antonio Reynoso" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata de NY-07" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.