Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from sources like FlightAware and FAA operations reports showing under 5000 delays nationwide as the day concluded. Benign weather across major hubs including Atlanta, Chicago, and New York minimized disruptions, with no reported air traffic control outages, ground stops, or significant carrier issues following smoother operations in prior days. Average daily delays typically range 10,000–15,000 amid routine factors like tarmac waits and crew shortages, but today's low volume—amid stable post-winter patterns—solidifies this positioning. Only a major upward revision in official DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, perhaps from late-reported cancellations or reclassifications, could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show minimal post-day adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado<8000 100.0%
8000-8500 <1%
8500-9000 <1%
9000-9500 <1%
$13,094 Vol.
$13,094 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
<8000
Yes
8000-8500
No
8500-9000
No
9000-9500
No
9500-10000
No
10000-10500
No
10500-11000
No
>11000
No
<8000 100.0%
8000-8500 <1%
8500-9000 <1%
9000-9500 <1%
$13,094 Vol.
$13,094 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
<8000
$9,675 Vol.
Yes
8000-8500
$2,167 Vol.
No
8500-9000
$1,252 Vol.
No
9000-9500
$0 Vol.
No
9500-10000
$0 Vol.
No
10000-10500
$0 Vol.
No
10500-11000
$0 Vol.
No
>11000
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from sources like FlightAware and FAA operations reports showing under 5000 delays nationwide as the day concluded. Benign weather across major hubs including Atlanta, Chicago, and New York minimized disruptions, with no reported air traffic control outages, ground stops, or significant carrier issues following smoother operations in prior days. Average daily delays typically range 10,000–15,000 amid routine factors like tarmac waits and crew shortages, but today's low volume—amid stable post-winter patterns—solidifies this positioning. Only a major upward revision in official DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, perhaps from late-reported cancellations or reclassifications, could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show minimal post-day adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$13,094Data de Término
Mar 26, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from sources like FlightAware and FAA operations reports showing under 5000 delays nationwide as the day concluded. Benign weather across major hubs including Atlanta, Chicago, and New York minimized disruptions, with no reported air traffic control outages, ground stops, or significant carrier issues following smoother operations in prior days. Average daily delays typically range 10,000–15,000 amid routine factors like tarmac waits and crew shortages, but today's low volume—amid stable post-winter patterns—solidifies this positioning. Only a major upward revision in official DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, perhaps from late-reported cancellations or reclassifications, could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show minimal post-day adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$13,094Data de Término
Mar 26, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting real-time tracking data from sources like FlightAware and FAA operations reports showing under 5000 delays nationwide as the day concluded. Benign weather across major hubs including Atlanta, Chicago, and New York minimized disruptions, with no reported air traffic control outages, ground stops, or significant carrier issues following smoother operations in prior days. Average daily delays typically range 10,000–15,000 amid routine factors like tarmac waits and crew shortages, but today's low volume—amid stable post-winter patterns—solidifies this positioning. Only a major upward revision in official DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, perhaps from late-reported cancellations or reclassifications, could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show minimal post-day adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions