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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México

Greg Hull 58%

Duke Rodriguez 34%

Steve Lanier 2.2%

Brian Cillessen 1.3%

Polymarket

$790,292 Vol.

Greg Hull 58%

Duke Rodriguez 34%

Steve Lanier 2.2%

Brian Cillessen 1.3%

Polymarket

$790,292 Vol.

Greg Hull

$118,788 Vol.

58%

Duke Rodriguez

$7,509 Vol.

34%

Steve Lanier

$642,523 Vol.

2%

Brian Cillessen

$2,320 Vol.

1%

Judith Nakamura

$5,914 Vol.

1%

Susana Martinez

$4,052 Vol.

1%

Belinda Robertson

$4,613 Vol.

1%

John Sanchez

$2,196 Vol.

1%

Mark Murphy

$2,377 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gregg Hull leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability for the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by his dominant performance at the state GOP pre-primary convention in early March, where he secured 55% of delegate votes—far ahead of rivals—and automatic ballot placement. Duke Rodriguez trails at 34%, bolstered by his military background and fundraising but lacking comparable party insider momentum. Most candidates qualified via petition signatures by the March 25 deadline after failing the convention threshold, fragmenting support. Hull's recent sweeping endorsements from local leaders further solidify his frontrunner status among traders assessing primary turnout and establishment backing in this open-seat race.

Gregg Hull leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability for the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by his dominant performance at the state GOP pre-primary convention in early March, where he secured 55% of delegate votes—far ahead of rivals—and automatic ballot placement. Duke Rodriguez trails at 34%, bolstered by his military background and fundraising but lacking comparable party insider momentum. Most candidates qualified via petition signatures by the March 25 deadline after failing the convention threshold, fragmenting support. Hull's recent sweeping endorsements from local leaders further solidify his frontrunner status among traders assessing primary turnout and establishment backing in this open-seat race.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gregg Hull leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability for the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by his dominant performance at the state GOP pre-primary convention in early March, where he secured 55% of delegate votes—far ahead of rivals—and automatic ballot placement. Duke Rodriguez trails at 34%, bolstered by his military background and fundraising but lacking comparable party insider momentum. Most candidates qualified via petition signatures by the March 25 deadline after failing the convention threshold, fragmenting support. Hull's recent sweeping endorsements from local leaders further solidify his frontrunner status among traders assessing primary turnout and establishment backing in this open-seat race.

Gregg Hull leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability for the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by his dominant performance at the state GOP pre-primary convention in early March, where he secured 55% of delegate votes—far ahead of rivals—and automatic ballot placement. Duke Rodriguez trails at 34%, bolstered by his military background and fundraising but lacking comparable party insider momentum. Most candidates qualified via petition signatures by the March 25 deadline after failing the convention threshold, fragmenting support. Hull's recent sweeping endorsements from local leaders further solidify his frontrunner status among traders assessing primary turnout and establishment backing in this open-seat race.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Greg Hull" at 58%, followed by "Duke Rodriguez" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México" has generated $790.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México" is "Greg Hull" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Duke Rodriguez" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador do Novo México" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.