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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan

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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan

John James 44%

Perry Johnson 37%

Aric Nesbitt 10.1%

Anthony Hudson 3.5%

Polymarket

$15,688 Vol.

John James 44%

Perry Johnson 37%

Aric Nesbitt 10.1%

Anthony Hudson 3.5%

Polymarket

$15,688 Vol.

John James

$6,018 Vol.

44%

Perry Johnson

$7,383 Vol.

37%

Aric Nesbitt

$0 Vol.

6%

Anthony Hudson

$0 Vol.

3%

William Null

$802 Vol.

3%

Tom Leonard

$0 Vol.

3%

Mike Cox

$0 Vol.

3%

Joyce Gipson

$0 Vol.

8%

Karla Wagner

$0 Vol.

2%

Ralph Rebandt

$837 Vol.

1%

Evan Space

$648 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors U.S. Rep. John James at 44.5% implied probability to win Michigan's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4, 2026, narrowly ahead of self-funded businessman Perry Johnson at 37.5%, reflecting a tight race driven by a JMC Analytics poll from March 21-23 showing James at 23%, Johnson at 20%, and 44% undecided among 450 likely primary voters. Johnson's $10 million ad blitz, including attacks portraying James as a "career politician" and two-time statewide loser, combined with aggressive outreach in pivotal Macomb County—James' congressional base—has eroded the congressman's once-dominant leads from late 2025 polls. High undecideds and divided GOP factions keep it competitive; separation could come from major endorsements, debate performances, fundraising disclosures, or county conventions ahead of filing deadlines.

Trader consensus favors U.S. Rep. John James at 44.5% implied probability to win Michigan's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4, 2026, narrowly ahead of self-funded businessman Perry Johnson at 37.5%, reflecting a tight race driven by a JMC Analytics poll from March 21-23 showing James at 23%, Johnson at 20%, and 44% undecided among 450 likely primary voters. Johnson's $10 million ad blitz, including attacks portraying James as a "career politician" and two-time statewide loser, combined with aggressive outreach in pivotal Macomb County—James' congressional base—has eroded the congressman's once-dominant leads from late 2025 polls. High undecideds and divided GOP factions keep it competitive; separation could come from major endorsements, debate performances, fundraising disclosures, or county conventions ahead of filing deadlines.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors U.S. Rep. John James at 44.5% implied probability to win Michigan's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4, 2026, narrowly ahead of self-funded businessman Perry Johnson at 37.5%, reflecting a tight race driven by a JMC Analytics poll from March 21-23 showing James at 23%, Johnson at 20%, and 44% undecided among 450 likely primary voters. Johnson's $10 million ad blitz, including attacks portraying James as a "career politician" and two-time statewide loser, combined with aggressive outreach in pivotal Macomb County—James' congressional base—has eroded the congressman's once-dominant leads from late 2025 polls. High undecideds and divided GOP factions keep it competitive; separation could come from major endorsements, debate performances, fundraising disclosures, or county conventions ahead of filing deadlines.

Trader consensus favors U.S. Rep. John James at 44.5% implied probability to win Michigan's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4, 2026, narrowly ahead of self-funded businessman Perry Johnson at 37.5%, reflecting a tight race driven by a JMC Analytics poll from March 21-23 showing James at 23%, Johnson at 20%, and 44% undecided among 450 likely primary voters. Johnson's $10 million ad blitz, including attacks portraying James as a "career politician" and two-time statewide loser, combined with aggressive outreach in pivotal Macomb County—James' congressional base—has eroded the congressman's once-dominant leads from late 2025 polls. High undecideds and divided GOP factions keep it competitive; separation could come from major endorsements, debate performances, fundraising disclosures, or county conventions ahead of filing deadlines.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John James" at 45%, followed by "Perry Johnson" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan" has generated $15.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan" is "John James" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Perry Johnson" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Michigan" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.