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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Louisiana

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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Louisiana

Julia Letlow 74%

John Fleming 13.7%

Bill Cassidy 10%

Julie Emerson <1%

Polymarket

$63,703 Vol.

Julia Letlow 74%

John Fleming 13.7%

Bill Cassidy 10%

Julie Emerson <1%

Polymarket

$63,703 Vol.

Julia Letlow

$6,892 Vol.

74%

John Fleming

$30,332 Vol.

14%

Bill Cassidy

$26,478 Vol.

10%

Julie Emerson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Blake Miguez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt

$0 Vol.

<1%

Eric Skrmetta

$0 Vol.

<1%

Randall Arrington

$0 Vol.

<1%

Chris Holder

$0 Vol.

<1%

Xan John

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kathy Seiden

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tracy Dendy

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow at 73.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's May 16 Republican Senate primary, driven by President Trump's endorsement and her campaign's March 17 poll showing a lead that expands further when voters learn of it, consolidating anti-incumbent momentum against Sen. Bill Cassidy. Cassidy trails at 10% amid lingering GOP base resentment over his 2021 vote to convict Trump after January 6, despite his own March 12 poll claiming a double-digit edge. State Treasurer John Fleming holds 13.6% as a proven conservative challenger backed by Freedom Caucus ties, but risks splitting the non-incumbent vote ahead of early voting starting May 2. Recent clashes between candidates underscore a tight race hinging on turnout among Trump-aligned voters.

Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow at 73.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's May 16 Republican Senate primary, driven by President Trump's endorsement and her campaign's March 17 poll showing a lead that expands further when voters learn of it, consolidating anti-incumbent momentum against Sen. Bill Cassidy. Cassidy trails at 10% amid lingering GOP base resentment over his 2021 vote to convict Trump after January 6, despite his own March 12 poll claiming a double-digit edge. State Treasurer John Fleming holds 13.6% as a proven conservative challenger backed by Freedom Caucus ties, but risks splitting the non-incumbent vote ahead of early voting starting May 2. Recent clashes between candidates underscore a tight race hinging on turnout among Trump-aligned voters.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow at 73.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's May 16 Republican Senate primary, driven by President Trump's endorsement and her campaign's March 17 poll showing a lead that expands further when voters learn of it, consolidating anti-incumbent momentum against Sen. Bill Cassidy. Cassidy trails at 10% amid lingering GOP base resentment over his 2021 vote to convict Trump after January 6, despite his own March 12 poll claiming a double-digit edge. State Treasurer John Fleming holds 13.6% as a proven conservative challenger backed by Freedom Caucus ties, but risks splitting the non-incumbent vote ahead of early voting starting May 2. Recent clashes between candidates underscore a tight race hinging on turnout among Trump-aligned voters.

Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow at 73.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's May 16 Republican Senate primary, driven by President Trump's endorsement and her campaign's March 17 poll showing a lead that expands further when voters learn of it, consolidating anti-incumbent momentum against Sen. Bill Cassidy. Cassidy trails at 10% amid lingering GOP base resentment over his 2021 vote to convict Trump after January 6, despite his own March 12 poll claiming a double-digit edge. State Treasurer John Fleming holds 13.6% as a proven conservative challenger backed by Freedom Caucus ties, but risks splitting the non-incumbent vote ahead of early voting starting May 2. Recent clashes between candidates underscore a tight race hinging on turnout among Trump-aligned voters.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Louisiana" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Julia Letlow" at 74%, followed by "John Fleming" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Louisiana" has generated $63.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Louisiana," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Louisiana" is "Julia Letlow" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Fleming" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Louisiana" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.