Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky

Andy Barr 55%

Daniel Cameron 21.9%

Nate Morris 19.7%

Andrew Shelley 1.0%

Polymarket

$98,347 Vol.

Andy Barr 55%

Daniel Cameron 21.9%

Nate Morris 19.7%

Andrew Shelley 1.0%

Polymarket

$98,347 Vol.

Andy Barr

$9,247 Vol.

55%

Daniel Cameron

$10,092 Vol.

22%

Nate Morris

$7,297 Vol.

20%

Andrew Shelley

$53,159 Vol.

1%

Wende Kennedy

$10,616 Vol.

<1%

Mike Faris

$7,936 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors U.S. Rep. Andy Barr at 51.5% to win Kentucky's Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his fundraising dominance—$6.6 million raised plus a $3.7 million rollover—and super PAC ad blitz saturating airwaves, bolstering his House incumbency base amid high undecideds in February polls showing a tight three-way race (Barr 26%, Daniel Cameron 24%, Nate Morris 16%). The March 16 debate saw all three pledge Trump loyalty on immigration and Iran while distancing from Mitch McConnell, but Barr and self-funded outsider Morris traded attacks, with Cameron staying above the fray despite lagging funds. Nate Morris's odds rose to 19.7% post-Elon Musk's $10 million super PAC infusion, while Cameron holds 24.3% on name recognition from his attorney general run, though polls diverge from market pricing emphasizing organizational edges. Q1 FEC reports due April 15 could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.

If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$98,347
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors U.S. Rep. Andy Barr at 51.5% to win Kentucky's Republican Senate primary on May 19, driven by his fundraising dominance—$6.6 million raised plus a $3.7 million rollover—and super PAC ad blitz saturating airwaves, bolstering his House incumbency base amid high undecideds in February polls showing a tight three-way race (Barr 26%, Daniel Cameron 24%, Nate Morris 16%). The March 16 debate saw all three pledge Trump loyalty on immigration and Iran while distancing from Mitch McConnell, but Barr and self-funded outsider Morris traded attacks, with Cameron staying above the fray despite lagging funds. Nate Morris's odds rose to 19.7% post-Elon Musk's $10 million super PAC infusion, while Cameron holds 24.3% on name recognition from his attorney general run, though polls diverge from market pricing emphasizing organizational edges. Q1 FEC reports due April 15 could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.

If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$98,347
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Barr" at 55%, followed by "Daniel Cameron" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky" has generated $98.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky" is "Andy Barr" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Daniel Cameron" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Kentucky" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.