Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17-20°C highs for Tel Aviv on March 27, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peak temperatures in this range amid a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea-breeze development, which could cap peaks at 17-18°C via coastal cooling, versus sunnier interiors pushing toward 19-20°C; GFS runs lean slightly warmer at 19.5°C mean, while UKMO variants show 1-2°C cooler due to increased low-level moisture. Historical March data (19°C average high) and minimal nocturnal recovery support this narrow band, with low odds for extremes reflecting subdued synoptic forcing. Key watch: 00Z model updates tonight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 27 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 27 de março?
18°C 25%
19°C 24%
20°C 24%
17°C 23%
13°C ou menos
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
6%
16°C
11%
17°C
23%
18°C
25%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
8%
22°C
5%
23°C ou mais
2%
18°C 25%
19°C 24%
20°C 24%
17°C 23%
13°C ou menos
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
6%
16°C
11%
17°C
23%
18°C
25%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
8%
22°C
5%
23°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17-20°C highs for Tel Aviv on March 27, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peak temperatures in this range amid a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea-breeze development, which could cap peaks at 17-18°C via coastal cooling, versus sunnier interiors pushing toward 19-20°C; GFS runs lean slightly warmer at 19.5°C mean, while UKMO variants show 1-2°C cooler due to increased low-level moisture. Historical March data (19°C average high) and minimal nocturnal recovery support this narrow band, with low odds for extremes reflecting subdued synoptic forcing. Key watch: 00Z model updates tonight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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