Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 11-14°C for London's highest temperature on March 27, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and UK Met Office models projecting peaks of 12-13°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and mild Atlantic air. Recent 12Z updates indicate partial cloud breaks boosting maxima toward 13°C (26.5% implied odds), while persistent overcast favors 11-12°C (40.5% combined), differentiating outcomes by 1-2°C via solar insolation effects. Historical late-March averages hover at 11.5°C, but this setup suggests a mild anomaly; traders eye evening frontal risks and 00Z runs for shifts amid typical spring forecast divergence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in London on March 27?
Highest temperature in London on March 27?
13°C 27%
12°C 25%
14°C 17%
11°C 14%
8°C or below
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
9%
11°C
14%
12°C
25%
13°C
27%
14°C
17%
15°C
13%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
2%
13°C 27%
12°C 25%
14°C 17%
11°C 14%
8°C or below
2%
9°C
5%
10°C
9%
11°C
14%
12°C
25%
13°C
27%
14°C
17%
15°C
13%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 11-14°C for London's highest temperature on March 27, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and UK Met Office models projecting peaks of 12-13°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and mild Atlantic air. Recent 12Z updates indicate partial cloud breaks boosting maxima toward 13°C (26.5% implied odds), while persistent overcast favors 11-12°C (40.5% combined), differentiating outcomes by 1-2°C via solar insolation effects. Historical late-March averages hover at 11.5°C, but this setup suggests a mild anomaly; traders eye evening frontal risks and 00Z runs for shifts amid typical spring forecast divergence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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