Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature around 9-11°C in London on March 25, driven by the latest Met Office forecast projecting a 10°C high amid cloudy skies and possible light rain, with ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS showing a tight spread of 8-12°C. This reflects cooler-than-average late March conditions due to persistent low cloud cover from an Atlantic weather system overriding solar heating, historically averaging 11°C highs. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—overcast persistence tips toward 9°C, while brief clear intervals could boost to 11°C via enhanced diurnal warming—though short-range uncertainty keeps odds closely matched ahead of hourly updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 25 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 25 de março?
9°C 32%
10°C 27%
11°C 26%
8°C 13%
5°C ou menos
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
4%
8°C
13%
9°C
32%
10°C
27%
11°C
26%
12°C
11%
13°C
5%
14°C
3%
15°C ou mais
1%
9°C 32%
10°C 27%
11°C 26%
8°C 13%
5°C ou menos
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
4%
8°C
13%
9°C
32%
10°C
27%
11°C
26%
12°C
11%
13°C
5%
14°C
3%
15°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature around 9-11°C in London on March 25, driven by the latest Met Office forecast projecting a 10°C high amid cloudy skies and possible light rain, with ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS showing a tight spread of 8-12°C. This reflects cooler-than-average late March conditions due to persistent low cloud cover from an Atlantic weather system overriding solar heating, historically averaging 11°C highs. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—overcast persistence tips toward 9°C, while brief clear intervals could boost to 11°C via enhanced diurnal warming—though short-range uncertainty keeps odds closely matched ahead of hourly updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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