Trader consensus on Wuhan's highest temperature March 27 clusters tightly around 19–24°C, driven by ensemble weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF projecting mild highs amid a high-pressure ridge over central China, with implied probabilities favoring 24°C at 20.5% amid urban heat island amplification in the megacity. Recent GFS updates show slight divergence, with some runs nudging toward 23–24°C under light southerly winds advecting warmer air, while cooler cloudier scenarios cap at 19–21°C, reflecting 2–3°C model spread typical for spring transitional weather. Historical late-March norms average 18°C, but ongoing warming trends and minimal precipitation risk tilt sentiment warmer; watch CMA's 12-hourly updates for resolution-defining clarity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
24°C 21%
21°C 19%
23°C 18%
22°C 17%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
10%
18°C
14%
19°C
14%
20°C
11%
21°C
19%
22°C
17%
23°C
18%
24°C
21%
25°C or higher
9%
24°C 21%
21°C 19%
23°C 18%
22°C 17%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
10%
18°C
14%
19°C
14%
20°C
11%
21°C
19%
22°C
17%
23°C
18%
24°C
21%
25°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Wuhan's highest temperature March 27 clusters tightly around 19–24°C, driven by ensemble weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF projecting mild highs amid a high-pressure ridge over central China, with implied probabilities favoring 24°C at 20.5% amid urban heat island amplification in the megacity. Recent GFS updates show slight divergence, with some runs nudging toward 23–24°C under light southerly winds advecting warmer air, while cooler cloudier scenarios cap at 19–21°C, reflecting 2–3°C model spread typical for spring transitional weather. Historical late-March norms average 18°C, but ongoing warming trends and minimal precipitation risk tilt sentiment warmer; watch CMA's 12-hourly updates for resolution-defining clarity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions