Trader sentiment for Paris's highest temperature on March 27 clusters tightly around 9–14°C, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models showing a consensus peak near 11°C amid mild Atlantic airflow displacing cooler continental air masses. Recent 00Z runs indicate subtle divergence: ECMWF favors moderated highs of 10–12°C under partial cloud cover, while GFS hints at 13–14°C if southerly winds strengthen, explaining the near-even odds. Historical March 27 averages hover at 11–12°C per Météo-France data, with urban heat island effects potentially adding 1–2°C; low probabilities for extremes reflect minimal risk of polar outbreaks or heatwaves this late in winter. Final 12–24-hour updates from official agencies will likely resolve the spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on March 27?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 27?
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
7°C 17%
14°C 16%
5°C or below
2%
6°C
14%
7°C
17%
8°C
4%
9°C
18%
10°C
26%
11°C
20%
12°C
13%
13°C
10%
14°C
18%
15°C or higher
2%
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
7°C 17%
14°C 16%
5°C or below
2%
6°C
14%
7°C
17%
8°C
4%
9°C
18%
10°C
26%
11°C
20%
12°C
13%
13°C
10%
14°C
18%
15°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Paris's highest temperature on March 27 clusters tightly around 9–14°C, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models showing a consensus peak near 11°C amid mild Atlantic airflow displacing cooler continental air masses. Recent 00Z runs indicate subtle divergence: ECMWF favors moderated highs of 10–12°C under partial cloud cover, while GFS hints at 13–14°C if southerly winds strengthen, explaining the near-even odds. Historical March 27 averages hover at 11–12°C per Météo-France data, with urban heat island effects potentially adding 1–2°C; low probabilities for extremes reflect minimal risk of polar outbreaks or heatwaves this late in winter. Final 12–24-hour updates from official agencies will likely resolve the spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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