Trader sentiment on Paris's highest temperature for March 24 clusters tightly around 17–19°C, driven by ensemble weather models from ECMWF and GFS projecting mild highs amid a high-pressure ridge ushering Atlantic warmth, with means near 18°C. Recent updates from Météo-France show slight upward revisions from 16°C ensemble averages earlier this week, fueled by persistent southerly flows and low soil moisture reducing evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include ECMWF's warmer bias (favoring 19°C) versus GFS's cooler tilt (18–17°C), compounded by urban heat island effects amplifying city readings by 1–2°C over rural stations. Historical late-March norms hover at 13°C, but this anomalously mild setup—linked to positive North Atlantic Oscillation—keeps lower outcomes like 14°C viable at 17.5% amid model spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 24 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 24 de março?
19°C 33%
14°C 30%
18°C 30%
17°C 27%
12°C ou menos
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
17%
15°C
15%
16°C
19%
17°C
27%
18°C
24%
19°C
27%
20°C
17%
21°C
15%
22°C ou mais
3%
19°C 33%
14°C 30%
18°C 30%
17°C 27%
12°C ou menos
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
17%
15°C
15%
16°C
19%
17°C
27%
18°C
24%
19°C
27%
20°C
17%
21°C
15%
22°C ou mais
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Paris's highest temperature for March 24 clusters tightly around 17–19°C, driven by ensemble weather models from ECMWF and GFS projecting mild highs amid a high-pressure ridge ushering Atlantic warmth, with means near 18°C. Recent updates from Météo-France show slight upward revisions from 16°C ensemble averages earlier this week, fueled by persistent southerly flows and low soil moisture reducing evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include ECMWF's warmer bias (favoring 19°C) versus GFS's cooler tilt (18–17°C), compounded by urban heat island effects amplifying city readings by 1–2°C over rural stations. Historical late-March norms hover at 13°C, but this anomalously mild setup—linked to positive North Atlantic Oscillation—keeps lower outcomes like 14°C viable at 17.5% amid model spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions