National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF drive trader consensus toward a high in the upper 70s for Atlanta on March 23, with 78-79°F at 31% implied probability edging out 76-77°F at 26%. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southeast promotes warm advection and abundant sunshine, fostering peak daytime heating under light southerly winds around 5-10 mph. Differentiating factors include minor model divergences—GFS leaning toward 80°F via stronger subsidence, while ECMWF favors 77°F with subtle mid-level clouds—against Atlanta's March climatology of 68°F average highs. Low precipitation risk (under 10%) and stable boundary layer reduce downside volatility, though isolated cumulus could cap extremes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
78-79°F 31%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 18%
74-75°F 10%
$25,616 Vol.
$25,616 Vol.
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 31%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 18%
74-75°F 10%
$25,616 Vol.
$25,616 Vol.
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF drive trader consensus toward a high in the upper 70s for Atlanta on March 23, with 78-79°F at 31% implied probability edging out 76-77°F at 26%. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southeast promotes warm advection and abundant sunshine, fostering peak daytime heating under light southerly winds around 5-10 mph. Differentiating factors include minor model divergences—GFS leaning toward 80°F via stronger subsidence, while ECMWF favors 77°F with subtle mid-level clouds—against Atlanta's March climatology of 68°F average highs. Low precipitation risk (under 10%) and stable boundary layer reduce downside volatility, though isolated cumulus could cap extremes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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