Latest weather model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, as corroborated by the Israel Meteorological Service, project Tel Aviv's March 25 high temperature tightly clustered between 17-20°C, fueling the razor-thin odds atop 18°C (22%) and 19°C (19%). Mild westerly winds and Mediterranean sea breezes are expected to cap peaks, differentiating outcomes: ECMWF leans cooler at 18°C due to lingering stratiform cloud cover from a recent front, while GFS hints warmer at 20°C amid subsiding highs. Historical late-March averages hover at 19.5°C, but soil moisture from prior rains adds downside risk to 17°C; new 00Z runs tonight could pivot trader consensus amid typical ±2°C forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 25 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 25 de março?
18°C 22%
19°C 19%
17°C 19%
20°C 18%
14°C ou menos
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
14%
17°C
19%
18°C
22%
19°C
19%
20°C
18%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
1%
18°C 22%
19°C 19%
17°C 19%
20°C 18%
14°C ou menos
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
14%
17°C
19%
18°C
22%
19°C
19%
20°C
18%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest weather model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, as corroborated by the Israel Meteorological Service, project Tel Aviv's March 25 high temperature tightly clustered between 17-20°C, fueling the razor-thin odds atop 18°C (22%) and 19°C (19%). Mild westerly winds and Mediterranean sea breezes are expected to cap peaks, differentiating outcomes: ECMWF leans cooler at 18°C due to lingering stratiform cloud cover from a recent front, while GFS hints warmer at 20°C amid subsiding highs. Historical late-March averages hover at 19.5°C, but soil moisture from prior rains adds downside risk to 17°C; new 00Z runs tonight could pivot trader consensus amid typical ±2°C forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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