Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 16°C as Milan's highest temperature on March 20, reflecting the tight convergence of ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which project daytime highs peaking at 16°C amid mild westerly flows and partial cloud cover. Official guidance from ARPA Lombardia and international services like AccuWeather aligns precisely, with historical March data showing Milan averages 13-15°C but current synoptic patterns—stable high pressure post-recent fronts—supporting this mild outlook. Urban heat island effects at Linate Airport station could nudge readings slightly higher, but model uncertainty bands remain narrow (±1-2°C). A challenging scenario would require an unforeseen warm advection or southerly gusts shifting trajectories before resolution, though latest 00Z runs show no such signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 20 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 20 de março?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$84,791 Vol.
$84,791 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou mais
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$84,791 Vol.
$84,791 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Janela de disputa
Final
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 16°C as Milan's highest temperature on March 20, reflecting the tight convergence of ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which project daytime highs peaking at 16°C amid mild westerly flows and partial cloud cover. Official guidance from ARPA Lombardia and international services like AccuWeather aligns precisely, with historical March data showing Milan averages 13-15°C but current synoptic patterns—stable high pressure post-recent fronts—supporting this mild outlook. Urban heat island effects at Linate Airport station could nudge readings slightly higher, but model uncertainty bands remain narrow (±1-2°C). A challenging scenario would require an unforeseen warm advection or southerly gusts shifting trajectories before resolution, though latest 00Z runs show no such signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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