In Georgia's 11th Congressional District Republican primary set for May 19, trader consensus reflects a dead heat among Lisa Carlquist, Chris Mora, John Hobbs, and John Cowan at 41–45%, driven by the open seat left by retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk and a fragmented eight-candidate field splitting conservative support in this R+12 suburban district spanning Marietta and Cartersville. Loudermilk's February 24 endorsement of Rob Adkerson has not elevated him beyond 31%, while scant FEC fundraising—Chris Mora's modest $9,800 lead as of late 2025—shows no financial frontrunner. Recent forums in Cherokee and Bartow counties highlighted all top contenders without differentiation. Major endorsements, Trump backing, new polls, or spending surges could consolidate odds before a potential June 16 runoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoGA-11 Republican Primary Winner
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
John Hobbs 45%
Lisa Carlquist 43%
Chris Mora 42%
John Cowan 41%
John Hobbs
45%
Lisa Carlquist
43%
Chris Mora
42%
John Cowan
41%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
27%
Rob Adkerson
31%
William Brown
12%
Tricia Pridemore
28%
John Hobbs 45%
Lisa Carlquist 43%
Chris Mora 42%
John Cowan 41%
John Hobbs
45%
Lisa Carlquist
43%
Chris Mora
42%
John Cowan
41%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
27%
Rob Adkerson
31%
William Brown
12%
Tricia Pridemore
28%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Georgia's 11th Congressional District Republican primary set for May 19, trader consensus reflects a dead heat among Lisa Carlquist, Chris Mora, John Hobbs, and John Cowan at 41–45%, driven by the open seat left by retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk and a fragmented eight-candidate field splitting conservative support in this R+12 suburban district spanning Marietta and Cartersville. Loudermilk's February 24 endorsement of Rob Adkerson has not elevated him beyond 31%, while scant FEC fundraising—Chris Mora's modest $9,800 lead as of late 2025—shows no financial frontrunner. Recent forums in Cherokee and Bartow counties highlighted all top contenders without differentiation. Major endorsements, Trump backing, new polls, or spending surges could consolidate odds before a potential June 16 runoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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