In the March 3 Democratic primary for Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District, former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred captured the top spot with around 46% of the vote, advancing to the May 26 runoff against state Rep. Julie Johnson, who garnered about 36%, while Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez trailed far behind at under 10% combined. Trader consensus prices Allred at 74.5% implied probability to win the nomination, driven by his first-round momentum, fundraising superiority—outraising Johnson through April—and higher name recognition from his competitive 2024 U.S. Senate bid, alongside recent polls showing him ahead in the Dallas-area battleground. Johnson holds at 26.5% on institutional backing, with low-turnout runoffs often hinging on turnout among key voting blocs like urban Democrats.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoColin Allred 75%
Julie Johnson 27%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$71,924 Vol.
$71,924 Vol.
Colin Allred
75%
Julie Johnson
27%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 75%
Julie Johnson 27%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$71,924 Vol.
$71,924 Vol.
Colin Allred
75%
Julie Johnson
27%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the March 3 Democratic primary for Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District, former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred captured the top spot with around 46% of the vote, advancing to the May 26 runoff against state Rep. Julie Johnson, who garnered about 36%, while Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez trailed far behind at under 10% combined. Trader consensus prices Allred at 74.5% implied probability to win the nomination, driven by his first-round momentum, fundraising superiority—outraising Johnson through April—and higher name recognition from his competitive 2024 U.S. Senate bid, alongside recent polls showing him ahead in the Dallas-area battleground. Johnson holds at 26.5% on institutional backing, with low-turnout runoffs often hinging on turnout among key voting blocs like urban Democrats.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions