Colin Allred leads trader consensus at 78% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, driven by his first-place finish at 45.5% in the March 3 primary—11.5 points ahead of incumbent Julie Johnson’s 34%—bolstered by endorsements from defeated rivals Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez, plus Rep. Jasmine Crockett and labor unions. Allred’s fundraising dominance ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson’s $2.1 million) enables superior ad spending, including his first paid digital spot launched May 8, while Johnson relies on House leadership like Hakeem Jeffries and EMILYs List. In this safe Democratic Dallas-area district (Harris +33 in 2024), early voting begins May 18, favoring Allred’s momentum in a likely low-turnout contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoColin Allred 77%
Julie Johnson 25%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$72,474 Vol.
$72,474 Vol.
Colin Allred
77%
Julie Johnson
25%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 77%
Julie Johnson 25%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$72,474 Vol.
$72,474 Vol.
Colin Allred
77%
Julie Johnson
25%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colin Allred leads trader consensus at 78% implied probability to win the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, driven by his first-place finish at 45.5% in the March 3 primary—11.5 points ahead of incumbent Julie Johnson’s 34%—bolstered by endorsements from defeated rivals Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez, plus Rep. Jasmine Crockett and labor unions. Allred’s fundraising dominance ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson’s $2.1 million) enables superior ad spending, including his first paid digital spot launched May 8, while Johnson relies on House leadership like Hakeem Jeffries and EMILYs List. In this safe Democratic Dallas-area district (Harris +33 in 2024), early voting begins May 18, favoring Allred’s momentum in a likely low-turnout contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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