Georgia's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+27 partisan voter index, anchors trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party in the November 3, 2026, House general election, reflecting incumbent Hank Johnson's commanding reelection bid after winning 76% in 2024 and similar margins historically. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Johnson's experience on key committees bolstering his position amid modest Democratic primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 primary. Republicans feature lone candidate James Duffie so far, underscoring limited opposition in this Atlanta-area battleground. Upsets would require rare catalysts like a damaging scandal, Johnson's unexpected withdrawal due to health concerns, or an overwhelming national midterm wave.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoGA-04 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
GA-04 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Democrata
96%
Partido Republicano
4%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Democrata
$3,072 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+27 partisan voter index, anchors trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party in the November 3, 2026, House general election, reflecting incumbent Hank Johnson's commanding reelection bid after winning 76% in 2024 and similar margins historically. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Johnson's experience on key committees bolstering his position amid modest Democratic primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 primary. Republicans feature lone candidate James Duffie so far, underscoring limited opposition in this Atlanta-area battleground. Upsets would require rare catalysts like a damaging scandal, Johnson's unexpected withdrawal due to health concerns, or an overwhelming national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$3,072Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+27 partisan voter index, anchors trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party in the November 3, 2026, House general election, reflecting incumbent Hank Johnson's commanding reelection bid after winning 76% in 2024 and similar margins historically. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Johnson's experience on key committees bolstering his position amid modest Democratic primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 primary. Republicans feature lone candidate James Duffie so far, underscoring limited opposition in this Atlanta-area battleground. Upsets would require rare catalysts like a damaging scandal, Johnson's unexpected withdrawal due to health concerns, or an overwhelming national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,072Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+27 partisan voter index, anchors trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party in the November 3, 2026, House general election, reflecting incumbent Hank Johnson's commanding reelection bid after winning 76% in 2024 and similar margins historically. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Johnson's experience on key committees bolstering his position amid modest Democratic primary challengers Ansel Postell and Benedict Truman ahead of the May 19 primary. Republicans feature lone candidate James Duffie so far, underscoring limited opposition in this Atlanta-area battleground. Upsets would require rare catalysts like a damaging scandal, Johnson's unexpected withdrawal due to health concerns, or an overwhelming national midterm wave.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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