Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna's reelection bid in Florida's competitive 13th Congressional District drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 50.5%, reflecting her incumbency advantage, narrow 2024 victory over Democrat Whitney Fox, and strong fundraising in a district rated as a top Democratic target by Cook Political Report. Recent Democratic primary entrants, including Earle Ford surpassing $500,000 raised on March 2 and Leela Gray's February launch amid a crowded field of nine candidates, signal recruitment efforts, but resource dilution ahead of the August 18 closed primary tempers odds. Democrats' March 24 flip of a Republican-held state senate seat in nearby SD-14 underscores midterm volatility, yet Luna faces no notable GOP primary challengers, bolstering the GOP edge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoFL-13 House Election Winner
FL-13 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
28%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
72%
Democratic Party
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna's reelection bid in Florida's competitive 13th Congressional District drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 50.5%, reflecting her incumbency advantage, narrow 2024 victory over Democrat Whitney Fox, and strong fundraising in a district rated as a top Democratic target by Cook Political Report. Recent Democratic primary entrants, including Earle Ford surpassing $500,000 raised on March 2 and Leela Gray's February launch amid a crowded field of nine candidates, signal recruitment efforts, but resource dilution ahead of the August 18 closed primary tempers odds. Democrats' March 24 flip of a Republican-held state senate seat in nearby SD-14 underscores midterm volatility, yet Luna faces no notable GOP primary challengers, bolstering the GOP edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
Nov 4, 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna's reelection bid in Florida's competitive 13th Congressional District drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 50.5%, reflecting her incumbency advantage, narrow 2024 victory over Democrat Whitney Fox, and strong fundraising in a district rated as a top Democratic target by Cook Political Report. Recent Democratic primary entrants, including Earle Ford surpassing $500,000 raised on March 2 and Leela Gray's February launch amid a crowded field of nine candidates, signal recruitment efforts, but resource dilution ahead of the August 18 closed primary tempers odds. Democrats' March 24 flip of a Republican-held state senate seat in nearby SD-14 underscores midterm volatility, yet Luna faces no notable GOP primary challengers, bolstering the GOP edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Data de Término
Nov 4, 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna's reelection bid in Florida's competitive 13th Congressional District drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 50.5%, reflecting her incumbency advantage, narrow 2024 victory over Democrat Whitney Fox, and strong fundraising in a district rated as a top Democratic target by Cook Political Report. Recent Democratic primary entrants, including Earle Ford surpassing $500,000 raised on March 2 and Leela Gray's February launch amid a crowded field of nine candidates, signal recruitment efforts, but resource dilution ahead of the August 18 closed primary tempers odds. Democrats' March 24 flip of a Republican-held state senate seat in nearby SD-14 underscores midterm volatility, yet Luna faces no notable GOP primary challengers, bolstering the GOP edge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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