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Vencedor da By-Election Central de Dublin

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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Vencedor da By-Election Central de Dublin

Daniel Ennis 77%

Janice Boylan 15.0%

Gerry Hutch 4.3%

Gillian Sherratt 1.3%

Polymarket

$687,559 Vol.

Daniel Ennis 77%

Janice Boylan 15.0%

Gerry Hutch 4.3%

Gillian Sherratt 1.3%

Polymarket

$687,559 Vol.

Daniel Ennis

$8,430 Vol.

77%

Janice Boylan

$3,853 Vol.

15%

Gerry Hutch

$492,387 Vol.

4%

Gillian Sherratt

$115,930 Vol.

1%

Malachy Steenson

$10,861 Vol.

1%

Janet Horner

$2,047 Vol.

1%

John Stephens

$40,811 Vol.

1%

Ray McAdam

$2,023 Vol.

1%

Mary Fitzpatrick

$2,460 Vol.

<1%

Ian Noel Smyth

$4,892 Vol.

<1%

Séamas McGrattan

$1,956 Vol.

<1%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$1,909 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Trader consensus in the Dublin Central by-election heavily favors Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 76.5% implied probability, driven by reports of strong local canvassing reception in working-class areas like North Strand and Cabra, where his focus on housing reform, youth programs, and community cohesion resonates amid ongoing urban challenges including the 2023 riots' aftermath. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan, selected in February, trails at 14.9% following her weak 2024 performance, while independent Gerry Hutch's populist anti-government campaign garners 4.3% despite his controversial background and recent bail refund from Spanish authorities. Final candidate announcements, including Fine Gael's Ray McAdam and Fianna Fáil's John Stephens on March 30, have solidified a competitive field of 12 ahead of the late-May PR-STV vote, with transfers likely pivotal in this diverse three-seat constituency's single vacancy.

Trader consensus in the Dublin Central by-election heavily favors Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 76.5% implied probability, driven by reports of strong local canvassing reception in working-class areas like North Strand and Cabra, where his focus on housing reform, youth programs, and community cohesion resonates amid ongoing urban challenges including the 2023 riots' aftermath. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan, selected in February, trails at 14.9% following her weak 2024 performance, while independent Gerry Hutch's populist anti-government campaign garners 4.3% despite his controversial background and recent bail refund from Spanish authorities. Final candidate announcements, including Fine Gael's Ray McAdam and Fianna Fáil's John Stephens on March 30, have solidified a competitive field of 12 ahead of the late-May PR-STV vote, with transfers likely pivotal in this diverse three-seat constituency's single vacancy.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Trader consensus in the Dublin Central by-election heavily favors Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 76.5% implied probability, driven by reports of strong local canvassing reception in working-class areas like North Strand and Cabra, where his focus on housing reform, youth programs, and community cohesion resonates amid ongoing urban challenges including the 2023 riots' aftermath. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan, selected in February, trails at 14.9% following her weak 2024 performance, while independent Gerry Hutch's populist anti-government campaign garners 4.3% despite his controversial background and recent bail refund from Spanish authorities. Final candidate announcements, including Fine Gael's Ray McAdam and Fianna Fáil's John Stephens on March 30, have solidified a competitive field of 12 ahead of the late-May PR-STV vote, with transfers likely pivotal in this diverse three-seat constituency's single vacancy.

Trader consensus in the Dublin Central by-election heavily favors Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis at 76.5% implied probability, driven by reports of strong local canvassing reception in working-class areas like North Strand and Cabra, where his focus on housing reform, youth programs, and community cohesion resonates amid ongoing urban challenges including the 2023 riots' aftermath. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan, selected in February, trails at 14.9% following her weak 2024 performance, while independent Gerry Hutch's populist anti-government campaign garners 4.3% despite his controversial background and recent bail refund from Spanish authorities. Final candidate announcements, including Fine Gael's Ray McAdam and Fianna Fáil's John Stephens on March 30, have solidified a competitive field of 12 ahead of the late-May PR-STV vote, with transfers likely pivotal in this diverse three-seat constituency's single vacancy.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da By-Election Central de Dublin" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Daniel Ennis" at 77%, followed by "Janice Boylan" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da By-Election Central de Dublin" has generated $687.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da By-Election Central de Dublin," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da By-Election Central de Dublin" is "Daniel Ennis" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Janice Boylan" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da By-Election Central de Dublin" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.