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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$936,628,085 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.6%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$936,628,085 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,570,023 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,133,594 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,846,561 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,670,659 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,476,234 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,875,614 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,609,429 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$6,155,134 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,856,849 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,666,809 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,989,318 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,553,358 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,487,004 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,212,550 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,155,103 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,401,732 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,143,281 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,218,069 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,810,376 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,246,652 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,699,091 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,726,117 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,945,307 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,058,776 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,986,237 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,383,081 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,396,695 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,668,817 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,319,340 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,190,996 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,842,354 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,318,084 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,534,338 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,185,756 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,375,513 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,659,804 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,464,775 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,997,263 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,395,361 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,414,011 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,375,783 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,521,966 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,657,779 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,451,252 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom's commanding lead in recent California Democratic primary polls, including a March 20 LA Times survey edging Kamala Harris and a March 12 Politico poll showing a 14-point advantage, drives his 24% trader consensus as 2028 frontrunner, reflecting his executive experience, national fundraising war chest, and media profile post-2024 loss. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive grassroots energy, while Jon Ossoff's 6% stems from Senate visibility; Harris lingers at 4.5% despite a national JL Partners poll lead (22% to Newsom's 19%), burdened by prior campaign baggage. A wide-open field persists amid moderate pushes against left-wing nominees; 2026 midterms, endorsements, and battleground polling could consolidate support behind electability-tested governors or senators.

Gavin Newsom's commanding lead in recent California Democratic primary polls, including a March 20 LA Times survey edging Kamala Harris and a March 12 Politico poll showing a 14-point advantage, drives his 24% trader consensus as 2028 frontrunner, reflecting his executive experience, national fundraising war chest, and media profile post-2024 loss. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive grassroots energy, while Jon Ossoff's 6% stems from Senate visibility; Harris lingers at 4.5% despite a national JL Partners poll lead (22% to Newsom's 19%), burdened by prior campaign baggage. A wide-open field persists amid moderate pushes against left-wing nominees; 2026 midterms, endorsements, and battleground polling could consolidate support behind electability-tested governors or senators.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom's commanding lead in recent California Democratic primary polls, including a March 20 LA Times survey edging Kamala Harris and a March 12 Politico poll showing a 14-point advantage, drives his 24% trader consensus as 2028 frontrunner, reflecting his executive experience, national fundraising war chest, and media profile post-2024 loss. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive grassroots energy, while Jon Ossoff's 6% stems from Senate visibility; Harris lingers at 4.5% despite a national JL Partners poll lead (22% to Newsom's 19%), burdened by prior campaign baggage. A wide-open field persists amid moderate pushes against left-wing nominees; 2026 midterms, endorsements, and battleground polling could consolidate support behind electability-tested governors or senators.

Gavin Newsom's commanding lead in recent California Democratic primary polls, including a March 20 LA Times survey edging Kamala Harris and a March 12 Politico poll showing a 14-point advantage, drives his 24% trader consensus as 2028 frontrunner, reflecting his executive experience, national fundraising war chest, and media profile post-2024 loss. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive grassroots energy, while Jon Ossoff's 6% stems from Senate visibility; Harris lingers at 4.5% despite a national JL Partners poll lead (22% to Newsom's 19%), burdened by prior campaign baggage. A wide-open field persists amid moderate pushes against left-wing nominees; 2026 midterms, endorsements, and battleground polling could consolidate support behind electability-tested governors or senators.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" has generated $936.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.