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Política·Coreia Do Sul

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026

Market icon
Política·Coreia Do Sul

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026

Chong Won-oh 79%

Oh Se-hoon 14%

Park Ju-min 6.8%

Jeon Hyun-heui <1%

Polymarket

$7,228,223 Vol.

Chong Won-oh 79%

Oh Se-hoon 14%

Park Ju-min 6.8%

Jeon Hyun-heui <1%

Polymarket

$7,228,223 Vol.

Market icon

Chong Won-oh

$285,569 Vol.

79%

Market icon

Oh Se-hoon

$549,910 Vol.

14%

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Park Ju-min

$341,749 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Jeon Hyun-heui

$697,472 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Ahn Cheol-soo

$457,919 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Cho Eun-hee

$757,172 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Park Yong-jin

$767,046 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Hong Ihk-pyo

$592,223 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Cho Kuk

$316,910 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Kang Hoon-sik

$325,280 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Na Kyung-won

$648,845 Vol.

<1%

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Han Dong-hoon

$571,930 Vol.

<1%

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Park Hong-keun

$423,782 Vol.

<1%

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Seo Young-kyo

$492,423 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus heavily favors Chong Won-oh at 78.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by recent polls from Realmeter and Hankook Research showing him leading early Democratic Party (DPK) nomination surveys by 25-30 points over rivals, bolstered by DPK's dominant performance in the April 2024 National Assembly elections that strengthened their Seoul base. Incumbent Oh Se-hoon of the People Power Party (PPP) trails at 13.5% amid approval ratings dipping to 35% due to persistent housing affordability crises and youth unemployment protests in the capital. Park Ju-min at 6.8% gains modest traction as a potential independent or PPP challenger, but low odds reflect uncertainty over party primaries expected in early 2026. Key watchpoints include official candidacy announcements and shifting national polls ahead of the June vote.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volume
$7,228,223
Data de Término
Jun 3, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus heavily favors Chong Won-oh at 78.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by recent polls from Realmeter and Hankook Research showing him leading early Democratic Party (DPK) nomination surveys by 25-30 points over rivals, bolstered by DPK's dominant performance in the April 2024 National Assembly elections that strengthened their Seoul base. Incumbent Oh Se-hoon of the People Power Party (PPP) trails at 13.5% amid approval ratings dipping to 35% due to persistent housing affordability crises and youth unemployment protests in the capital. Park Ju-min at 6.8% gains modest traction as a potential independent or PPP challenger, but low odds reflect uncertainty over party primaries expected in early 2026. Key watchpoints include official candidacy announcements and shifting national polls ahead of the June vote.

Trader consensus heavily favors Chong Won-oh at 78.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by recent polls from Realmeter and Hankook Research showing him leading early Democratic Party (DPK) nomination surveys by 25-30 points over rivals, bolstered by DPK's dominant performance in the April 2024 National Assembly elections that strengthened their Seoul base. Incumbent Oh Se-hoon of the People Power Party (PPP) trails at 13.5% amid approval ratings dipping to 35% due to persistent housing affordability crises and youth unemployment protests in the capital. Park Ju-min at 6.8% gains modest traction as a potential independent or PPP challenger, but low odds reflect uncertainty over party primaries expected in early 2026. Key watchpoints include official candidacy announcements and shifting national polls ahead of the June vote.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chong Won-oh" at 79%, followed by "Oh Se-hoon" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026" has generated $7.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026" is "Chong Won-oh" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Oh Se-hoon" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.