Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

9%

$5.0K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

18%

JD Vance

$488M Vol.

$2M today

$31M Liq.

807

Ends in over 2 years

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

20%

$10.1K Vol.

$43.3K Liq.

2

Ends in over 2 years

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

52%

Democrats Sweep

$4M Vol.

$571K Liq.

138

Ends in 7 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$189K Liq.

6

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

$58.9K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

Below 190

$198K Vol.

$105K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

30%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

43

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$864K Liq.

63

Ends in over 2 years

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

15%

$28.1K Vol.

$31.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

March Inflation US - Annual

March Inflation US - Annual

99%

≥2.8%

$3M Vol.

$109K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

45%

≥3.4%

$922K Vol.

$63.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

GTA VI released before June 2026?

GTA VI released before June 2026?

2%

$13M Vol.

$52.8K Liq.

24

Ends in about 2 months

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

64%

Eric Swalwell

$8M Vol.

$764K Liq.

19

Ends in 7 months

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Alaska Governor Election Winner

26%

Tom Begich

$738K Vol.

$178K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

84%

Democrat

$18.7K Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

New Mexico Senate Election Winner

New Mexico Senate Election Winner

96%

Democrat

$11.1K Vol.

$77.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

56%

Republican

$163K Vol.

$69.5K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

74%

Republican

$93.2K Vol.

$37.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Maine Senate Election Winner

Maine Senate Election Winner

75%

Democrat

$48.7K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US News.

Polymarket currently hosts 197 active markets for US News that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $524.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 18% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US News predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.