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Strikes predictions & odds

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Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

7%

UAE

$3M Vol.

$247K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

4%

April 30

$255K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

8%

April 30

$51.4K Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?

Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?

10%

June 30, 2026

$65.9K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

93%

$541K Vol.

$58.5K Liq.

59

Ends in 2 months

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

93%

$108K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

95%

Tisza 12-15%

$764K Vol.

$122K Liq.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

95%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$206K Liq.

42

Ends in over 1 year

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

46%

2.0T+

$750K Vol.

$97.1K Liq.

8

Ends in over 1 year

Ella Langley 'Dandelion' First Week Album Sales? (Higher Strikes)

Ella Langley 'Dandelion' First Week Album Sales? (Higher Strikes)

92%

160k-180k

$1.1K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in about 14 hours

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

43%

≤8

$67.9K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

"Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)

"Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)

73%

<80m

$73 Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

100%

April 17

$30M Vol.

$5M today

$10M Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

100%

Iraq

$4M Vol.

$1M today

$5M Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Israel military action against Iran by...?

Israel military action against Iran by...?

9%

April 21

$2M Vol.

$253K today

$263K Liq.

45

Ends in 5 days

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

6%

April 30

$1M Vol.

$78.4K today

$88.1K Liq.

210

Ends in 14 days

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

6%

April 30

$851K Vol.

$66.3K today

$134K Liq.

87

Ends in 14 days

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

28%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$67.8K Liq.

163

Ends in 2 months

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

4%

$736K Vol.

$80.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

18%

April 30

$34.9K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Strikes.

Polymarket currently hosts 278 active markets for Strikes that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $48.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Military action against Iran ends by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Military action against Iran ends by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to April 9. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Strikes predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.