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Palestinian predictions & odds

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Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

8%

December 31

$122K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

20%

Belgium

$625K Vol.

$58.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

11%

June 30

$613K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

37%

$149K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

291

Ends in 14 days

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

4%

$92.3K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

14

Ends in about 1 month

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

13%

$50.1K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

1%

$5.2K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

12%

$67.7K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

41%

5

$7M Vol.

$338K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

37%

December 31

$555K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

13

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

7%

May 31

$1M Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

49

Ends in 14 days

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

41%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

30%

$14.0K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

7%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

159

Ends in about 1 month

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

13%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

357

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$6.7K Vol.

$210K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

83%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

10

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

93%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$796 Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Palestinian.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Palestinian that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $17.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 40% chance to 5. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Palestinian predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.