Intervention predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Israel

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

$1M Vol.

$60.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

11%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$60.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Economy·Economics

US announces another yen intervention by...?

$0 Vol.

$125 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

39%

December 31, 2026

$0 Vol.

$125 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Economy·Business

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

$75.9K Vol.

$33.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

BNP Paribas

$75.9K Vol.

$33.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$4.2K Vol.

$796 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$4.2K Vol.

$796 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Diamant Esports (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

$0 Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

67%

INFURITY Gaming

$0 Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

$107 Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

56%

aimclub

$107 Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

Politics·Marine Le Pen

Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

$2.6K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

11%

$2.6K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Finance·Banking

MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

$65 Vol.

$178 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

66%

$65 Vol.

$178 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Esports·Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: INTZ vs Lucky Five (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage

$0 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

68%

Lucky Five

$0 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

$41 Vol.

$208 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

64%

October 31

$41 Vol.

$208 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Politics·Minnesota Unrest

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

$1M Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

15%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

World·Crime

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

$101K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

28%

October 31

$101K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Sports·Games

Chengdu Open (Doubles): Johnson/Zielinski vs Doumbia/Reboul

$0 Vol.

$339 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

50%

Johnson/Zielinski

$0 Vol.

$339 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Geopolitics·Hezbollah

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

$170K Vol.

$119 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

$170K Vol.

$119 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

$119K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

18%

$119K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Russia

Trump meets with Putin by...?

$283K Vol.

$80.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

74%

December 31

$283K Vol.

$80.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Hezbollah

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

$378K Vol.

$54.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

16%

October 31

$378K Vol.

$54.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Sports·Games

W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Carla Giambelli

$0 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

93%

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

$0 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Weather·FDA

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

$45.7K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

88%

June 30, 2027?

$45.7K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Geopolitics·Eu

European military action against Iran by...?

$326K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

December 31

$326K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Intervention.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Intervention that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Insurrection Act invoked by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Insurrection Act invoked by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Intervention predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Intervention shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Insurrection Act invoked by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Intervention prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Intervention prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Intervention predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Intervention prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Intervention markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Intervention prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Intervention predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Intervention odds?

Can I track Intervention predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Intervention markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Intervention predictions & odds