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Coalition predictions & odds

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Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

30%

Labour + Green + Maori

$3.5K Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

42%

PSD + AUR

$7.6K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

20%

$59.7K Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner

59%

PQ

$505K Vol.

$74.7K Liq.

48

Ends in 5 months

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$92.5K Liq.

8

Ends in 4 months

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

61%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$16.3K Vol.

$66.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

33%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

$814 Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

20%

$1.9K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

53%

Likud

$2.8K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

7%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$532K Vol.

$160K Liq.

14

Ends in 14 days

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

94%

UDMR

$13.4K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

4

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

96%

United Russia (ER)

$1M Vol.

$189K Liq.

12

Ends in 4 months

Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

Brute

$38.5K Vol.

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

14%

$8.7K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Andalusia Election Winner

Andalusia Election Winner

100%

PP

$134K Vol.

$64.1K Liq.

3

Counter-Strike: PLATOON vs Z7 Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: PLATOON vs Z7 Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

Z7 Esports

$886 Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

94%

Moderates

$125K Vol.

$49.1K Liq.

14

Counter-Strike: Entropy vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Entropy vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Entropy

$4.0K Vol.

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs ImmuNe (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs ImmuNe (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Sashi Academy

$13.0K Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Coalition.

Polymarket currently hosts 129 active markets for Coalition that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 83% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Coalition predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.