Artificial General Intelligence predictions & odds

Culture·Poty

TIME Person of the Year 2026

$101K Vol.

$530K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

30%

Zohran Mamdani

$101K Vol.

$530K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Tech·AI

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

$306K Vol.

$32.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

17%

$306K Vol.

$32.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Culture·Science

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

$431K Vol.

$72.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

38%

December 31, 2028

$431K Vol.

$72.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

$Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?$

Tech·AI

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$44.2K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

23%

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer

$44.2K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·China

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

$17.3K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

78%

$17.3K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

AI data center in space by...?

$62.1K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

24%

December 31, 2027

$62.1K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Tech·AI

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

$1.0K Vol.

$660 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

33%

$1.0K Vol.

$660 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

$9.5K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

79%

↑ $25

$9.5K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Mentions·Earnings Calls

What will Levi Strauss & Co. say during their next earnings call?

$3.1K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

99%

Premium

$3.1K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Tech·AI

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

$6.4K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

16%

December 31, 2026

$6.4K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Tech·AI

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

$2.5K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$2.5K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Culture·Science

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

$29.9K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

15%

December 31, 2027

$29.9K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Tech·AI

GPT-7 released by...?

$14.9K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

89%

December 31, 2027

$14.9K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Geopolitics·Russia

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

$101K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$101K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$

Tech·AI

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

$40.8K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$40.8K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

$1.2K Vol.

$119 Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

42%

OpenAI

$1.2K Vol.

$119 Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Tech·AI

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

$22.8K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

31%

December 31, 2028

$22.8K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Politics·Trump

Who will be Trump's AI "czar" in 2026?

$47.3K Vol.

$140K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

81%

Jay Clayton

$47.3K Vol.

$140K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?$

Tech·AI

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

$4.5K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

98%

October 31

$4.5K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Tech·AI

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

$1.0K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

47%

↑ $55

$1.0K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Sort by

Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Artificial General Intelligence.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Artificial General Intelligence that lets you track or trade on predictions like “TIME Person of the Year 2026”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 38% chance to December 31, 2028. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Artificial General Intelligence predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Artificial General Intelligence shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Artificial General Intelligence prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “TIME Person of the Year 2026,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Artificial General Intelligence predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Artificial General Intelligence prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Artificial General Intelligence markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Artificial General Intelligence prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Artificial General Intelligence predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Artificial General Intelligence odds?

Can I track Artificial General Intelligence predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Artificial General Intelligence markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Artificial General Intelligence prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Artificial General Intelligence markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Artificial General Intelligence prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Artificial General Intelligence predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Artificial General Intelligence odds?

Can I track Artificial General Intelligence predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Artificial General Intelligence markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Artificial General Intelligence predictions & odds