Trader skepticism centers on the feasibility of former President Trump's proposed $5 million "Gold Card" visa program, announced in December 2024 as a premium pathway for wealthy immigrants to gain U.S. residency and fund national debt reduction by replacing the EB-5 investment visa. With no detailed legislative framework yet and congressional approval required in the 119th Congress convening January 2025, odds favor zero sales (23.5%) or minimal uptake (1-100 at 20.2%), reflecting low historical EB-5 demand and potential legal hurdles. The race stays tight amid vague implementation details and uncertain global buyer interest at the steep price; separation could emerge from immigration bill progress, pilot program launches, or business endorsements by mid-2025.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHow many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
0 24%
1-100 21.1%
2.5k-5k 14.0%
1k-2.5k 7.6%
$113,110 Vol.
$113,110 Vol.
0
24%
1-100
21%
101-1k
6%
1k-2.5k
8%
2.5k-5k
14%
5k-10k
7%
10k-25k
8%
25k-100k
7%
>100k
6%
0 24%
1-100 21.1%
2.5k-5k 14.0%
1k-2.5k 7.6%
$113,110 Vol.
$113,110 Vol.
0
24%
1-100
21%
101-1k
6%
1k-2.5k
8%
2.5k-5k
14%
5k-10k
7%
10k-25k
8%
25k-100k
7%
>100k
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader skepticism centers on the feasibility of former President Trump's proposed $5 million "Gold Card" visa program, announced in December 2024 as a premium pathway for wealthy immigrants to gain U.S. residency and fund national debt reduction by replacing the EB-5 investment visa. With no detailed legislative framework yet and congressional approval required in the 119th Congress convening January 2025, odds favor zero sales (23.5%) or minimal uptake (1-100 at 20.2%), reflecting low historical EB-5 demand and potential legal hurdles. The race stays tight amid vague implementation details and uncertain global buyer interest at the steep price; separation could emerge from immigration bill progress, pilot program launches, or business endorsements by mid-2025.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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