Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (75.5%), driven by the absence of official announcements, invitations, or confirmed diplomatic schedules following Trump's January inauguration. Recent developments, including Trump's expressed interest in Ukraine peace talks and Putin's openness to neutral venues like Istanbul or Vienna, have sparked speculation but yielded no firm commitments amid logistical hurdles, U.S. domestic priorities, and ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions. Lower probabilities for alternatives—such as Other EU countries (5.7%), Russia (3.1%), or Turkey (3.0%)—reflect unverified rumors without primary source backing, while Gulf states (2.9%) gain mild traction from Saudi hosting precedents; traders await catalysts like summits or calls that could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo meeting by June 30 75.6%
Other EU country 5.7%
Russia 3.1%
Turkey 3.1%
$3,469,659 Vol.
$3,469,659 Vol.

No meeting by June 30
76%

Other EU country
6%

Russia
3%

Turkey
3%

Gulf country
3%

China
2%

Other
2%

United States
2%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Japan
1%

South Korea
<1%

Finland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by June 30 75.6%
Other EU country 5.7%
Russia 3.1%
Turkey 3.1%
$3,469,659 Vol.
$3,469,659 Vol.

No meeting by June 30
76%

Other EU country
6%

Russia
3%

Turkey
3%

Gulf country
3%

China
2%

Other
2%

United States
2%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Japan
1%

South Korea
<1%

Finland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (75.5%), driven by the absence of official announcements, invitations, or confirmed diplomatic schedules following Trump's January inauguration. Recent developments, including Trump's expressed interest in Ukraine peace talks and Putin's openness to neutral venues like Istanbul or Vienna, have sparked speculation but yielded no firm commitments amid logistical hurdles, U.S. domestic priorities, and ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions. Lower probabilities for alternatives—such as Other EU countries (5.7%), Russia (3.1%), or Turkey (3.0%)—reflect unverified rumors without primary source backing, while Gulf states (2.9%) gain mild traction from Saudi hosting precedents; traders await catalysts like summits or calls that could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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