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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$2,929,597 Vol.

Donald Trump 13%

UNRWA 7%

Yulia Navalnaya 6%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 4.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$2,929,597
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
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$2,929,597 Vol.

Market icon

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump 13%

UNRWA 7%

Yulia Navalnaya 6%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 4.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Donald Trump

$1,316,918 Vol.

13%

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UNRWA

$22,118 Vol.

7%

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Yulia Navalnaya

$30,045 Vol.

6%

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Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$32,470 Vol.

4%

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International Court of Justice

$14,551 Vol.

4%

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Greta Thunberg

$16,527 Vol.

3%

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$65,546 Vol.

3%

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Pope Leo XIV

$16,978 Vol.

2%

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António Guterres

$7,531 Vol.

2%

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Narendra Modi

$120,626 Vol.

1%

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Khaled Mashal

$3,839 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$207,770 Vol.

1%

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Charlie Kirk

$143,972 Vol.

1%

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Ahmed al-Sharaa

$392,366 Vol.

1%

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Julian Assange

$71,551 Vol.

1%

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Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$130,714 Vol.

1%

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Xi Jinping

$80,198 Vol.

1%

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Mohammed bin Salman

$131,934 Vol.

1%

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Benjamin Netanyahu

$68,496 Vol.

<1%

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Vladimir Putin

$55,447 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$2,929,597
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
shield

Beware of external links.